Money Markets
By GERALD ANDAE
In Summary
Tea prices have dropped by Sh8 a kilogramme or three
per cent at the Mombasa auction in the most recent sales as buyers rush
to release their stocks for fear of a fall in prices in the coming days.
In last week’s auction, the price of the beverage dropped to $2.76 (Sh251) from $2.85 (Sh259) in the previous trading.
The move has reversed the trend of high prices that
the auction has been witnessing in the last two months, threatening
farmers’ expectations of a good bonus at the end of the year.
Buyers argue that the rains that have started and
the onset of summer next month in major export markets will increase
volumes and suppress the demand of tea, driving down the price.
“Prices are likely to come down in the coming days
as the demand of tea is likely to go down with the expected increase in
volumes,” said Mr Peter Kimanga of the Global Tea and Commodities.
Mr Kimanga noted that tea consumption is normally
high during winter but the demand drops when summer starts as the intake
of the beverage declines.
“Nobody wants to be caught with tea as we head
towards summer and this is one of the reasons why traders are
off-loading their stocks to the market,” he said.
The low prices is coming at a time when statistics
from the tea regulator indicates that the exports grew marginally last
year compared to the previous years.
Data from the Tea Directorate at the Ministry of
Agriculture shows the output rose to 444.8 million kilos in 2014
compared to 432.2 million kilos a year earlier.
Last year, the country exported 499 million kilos,
up from 494.4 million kilos in 2013, reflecting a growth of 0.93 per
cent. The difference in export and production figures arose from unsold
tea carried over from the previous year.
The glut in the market saw the average price of tea
drop to Sh190.29 per kilos last year from Sh217.71 the previous season
and Sh269.36 in 2012 — a pointer that the farmers might have to wait
longer before witnessing a turnaround after their bonuses hit a
five-year low in 2013.
In 2013, 4.8 billion kilos of tea were produced
globally against a consumption of 4.6 billion kilos, creating a surplus
of 200 million kilos, which spilled over to 2014, hurting tea prices in
the market.
Total earnings for the Kenya Tea Development Agency
also decreased from Sh69.2 billion in 2013 to Sh52.9 billion in 2014,
representing a 23 per cent decline.
Kenya is the world’s leading exporter of black tea and the commodity is a major foreign exchange earner.
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