Saturday letter2
The
2019 African Export Import Bank Annual Meetings took place in the
beautiful city of Moscow, in the Russian Federation with the theme:
Transforming Africa’s Trade. The words of Prof. Ha-Joon Chang resonated
with me at the Afreximbank annual meetings where he stated that, “We
must reject the idea of a level playing field between developed and
developing countries. Free trade is only
beneficial between countries
with the same level of development’’ – Hence, making the African
Continental Free Trade Agreement important.
Free
trade comes with its own idiosyncrasies and often times in the short
run brings benefits to most countries but in the long run bad for the
economic backward developing countries and impedes productivity. This
supports the infant industries argument: a classic theory in
international trade states that new industries require protection from
international competitors until they become mature, stable, and are able
to compete competitively. The infant industry argument is commonly used
to justify domestic trade protectionism. An infant industry is in its
early stages of development, a newly established industry. Therefore,
infant industries lack the experience to compete effectively against
established competitors abroad. An infant industry is characterized by a
lack of efficiency, competitiveness, and a high vulnerability to sudden
market changes. Hence the need to be protected.
The
key constraint to the African continental free trade is infrastructure.
It is easier to transport oneself from one country in Europe to another
and that cannot be said for Africa. Africa partakes with 2.5% of global
trade despite accounting for 16% of the global population. The need to
properly improve the infrastructure in the aviation sector, rail and
road networks is crucial in the implementation of the African
continental free trade.
The
Russian Federation, taking center stage and partnering with Africa
through the African Export Import Bank and seeking partnership in also
providing the infrastructure that will aid the continental free trade
agreement is commendable. Power and sufficient transport networks must
be improved upon to sufficiently harness the benefits of the free trade
agreement. I do look towards a prosperous Africa, in which economic and
social development is sustained and not a continent which continues to
remain stagnant amidst vast abundance of natural resources and
technological advancement.
Folawiyo Kareem Olajoku, PhD,
FKO Investments and Research, Lagos
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