Thursday, May 4, 2017

Business confidence slightly up, analysts urge caution

Jibran Qureishi, regional economist East Africa at Stanbic Bank. FILE PHOTO | NMG Jibran Qureishi, regional economist East Africa at Stanbic Bank. FILE PHOTO | NMG 
Business conditions in Kenya saw a slight uptick in April to stabilise from a record low of the previous month according to the latest Stanbic Bank-HIS Markit Purchasing Manager’s Index.
The survey shows business conditions stabilised at 50.3 points, up from March’s 48.5.
Although above the 50.0 no-change mark, the latest figure was still the third-lowest recorded since the inception of the series in January 2014 meaning confidence is still weak.
“Business activity recovered after a contraction in March primarily on the back of an increase in new orders,” explained Jibran Qureishi, regional economist east Africa at Stanbic Bank
.
New orders were boosted by improved client demand, which was further supported by marketing initiatives.
Another factor that saw total new work rise was a sharp expansion in new export work, which occurred due to an increase in demand from international markets.
Mr Qureishi, however, warned that despite domestic demand showing some signs of recovery risks related to drought, the massive army worm breakout in food growing zones and poll jitters still pose threat.
“We would still urge caution for now considering that drought conditions could worsen as a result of the recent breakout of armyworms, which could destroy the upcoming harvest,” he said.
“In addition, political risk is likely to remain elevated which could prompt the private sector to scale back on investment spending.”

No comments :

Post a Comment