Saturday, February 4, 2017

Trump slaps sanctions on Iran as tension mounts


A long-range Qadr ballistic missile is launched
A long-range Qadr ballistic missile is launched in the Alborz mountain range in northern Iran on March 9, 2016. Iran said its armed forces had fired two more ballistic missiles as it continued tests in defiance of US warnings. PHOTO | MAHMMOD HOUSSEINI | AFP 
By AFP
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WASHINGTON
US President Donald Trump slapped fresh sanctions on Iran's weapons procurement network Friday, provoking an angry response from Tehran in what is an increasingly tense stand-off.
Officials said the new measures were in response to Iran's recent ballistic missile test and its support for the Huthi rebels in Yemen, who recently targeted a Saudi warship.
The new sanctions do not yet mean that the US has abandoned commitments it made under the deal to lift measures aimed at Iran's nuclear program, officials said.
But Trump has made no secret of his contempt for that accord, which his predecessor Barack Obama approved in July 2015, and officials said Friday's measures would not be the last.
PLAYING WITH FIRE
"Iran is playing with fire - they don't appreciate how 'kind' President Obama was to them. Not me!" Trump tweeted.
Underlining what he sees as the tougher stance under Trump rather than Obama, hardline US National Security Adviser Michael Flynn drew a stark line in the sand.
"The days of turning a blind eye to Iran's hostile and belligerent actions toward the United States and the world community are over," he said.
"This behaviour seems continuous despite the very favourable deal given to Iran by the Obama Administration. These sanctions target these behaviours."
Iran reacted angrily to the sanctions, vowing to impose "legal limitations" on Americans that Tehran alleges are involved in creating and supporting "extreme terrorist groups."
US intelligence and Treasury officials are constantly scrutinizing Iran's networks, looking for evidence of extremist funding and advanced weapons procurement.
STRATEGIC REVIEW
The immediate trigger for the sanctions was Iran's test, on Sunday, of a ballistic missile that US officials judge to have been capable of one day carrying a nuclear warhead.
But the latest detailed list of designations has clearly been in preparation for some time, and the White House says "nothing is off the table" — even military action.
"We are undertaking a larger strategic review," a senior US administration official told reporters. "The launch of the missile was the triggering event."
Washington is also concerned about attacks by Huthi rebels, a powerful faction in Yemen's civil war which US intelligence believes is armed and supported by Iran.
This week Huthi forces attacked a Saudi warship operating off Yemen and on Friday, a US official said: "We're very concerned about freedom of navigation in the Bab el-Mandeb area."
The senior official said Iran was "not necessarily responsible for every tactical decision" made by Huthi forces, but that it will be made to bear responsibility for its "proxies."
The United States has already protested about Iran's missile test at the United Nations, arguing it was "inconsistent" with UN Security Council Resolution 2231.
ANGRY TAUNTS
But Russia, which is allied with Iranian forces in its defence of Bashar al-Assad's Syrian regime, is unlikely to allow new international sanctions to target Tehran.
US Treasury officials hope that preventing Iran's networks in Lebanon and China from buying US goods or using the US financial system will curtail their activity.
Nevertheless, Trump's pronouncements on the 2015 nuclear deal, and Iran's angry response that his taunts are "baseless" and "provocative," have raised fears of an imminent showdown.
The nuclear deal obliged Iran to curtail its nuclear program and halt any nuclear weapons research in exchange for relief from US and international sanctions targeting the sector.
It was agreed between Tehran and six powers — Britain, China, France, Germany, Russia and the US — and Obama's White House hailed it as a blow against nuclear proliferation. 
Trump, Israel and many US foreign policy hawks argue instead that the deal was too soft and that the windfall Iran won with sanctions relief will be funnelled to terror networks.
If the deal collapses, however, some observers fear a nuclear arms race in the Middle East. US officials insist that the new sanctions have no bearing on the deal — for now.
"Iran has to determine its response to our actions. Iran has a choice to make," a senior administration official said.
"We are going to continue to respond to their behaviour in an ongoing way and at an appropriate level to continue to pressure them to change their behaviour."
Many in Washington are arguing for tougher action, and hawks in Congress have been calling for broad measures to target entire sectors of Iran's fragile economy.
SEVERE PRICE
"Unless the Iranian regime pays a severe price for its malign activities, they are unlikely to stop," said Mark Dubowitz, CEO of the Foundation for Defence of Democracies.
Think tank the Eurasia Group said the fate of the nuclear deal itself is in US hands and will be decided by "the harshness of the sanctions Trump puts in place."
If he sticks to designating new individuals for existing sanctions, the deal will probably hold — "but it is a close call" — the group said in a briefing note.
If he aims for broader sanctions designed to hobble the Iranian economy, it may fall apart.

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