Tuesday, July 5, 2016

Brexit to have only modest impact in Tanzania - experts

DAILY NEWS Reporter
BREXIT impact to Tanzania will only be insignificant on foreign direct and portfolio investments, according to financial experts. The global markets jittered after losing almost 2.0 trillion US dollars in just a single day as bourses were dancing the tune of Brexit.



In Dar es Salaam the shock waves were felt on shilling after appreciating almost 10 per cent against British pound in about a week due to depreciation of the Pound Sterling.
On Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange (DSE) the impact was also experienced on Acacia Mining share price movements going north affected by price appreciation in London. The firm is listed on DSE and FTSE in UK.

DSE Chief Executive Officer Mr Moremi Marwa said the Brexit may have some insignificant impacts on portfolio investments at the market because it is not that much connected to the global market. He said however there may be some impacts on the foreign direct investments.
“We might see some effect on FDIs as investors may cut down their investment activities as (global) markets are plummeting,” Mr Marwa said. “(Also) it depends on the kind of investments… but we will learn more as we go.
We will continue to see how it will impact our markets and global ones,” Mr Marwa said. On DSE’s market capitalisation may have same impact on share price movements of one heavy weight firms at the exchange - Acacia Mining.
The fluctuation may occur since Acacia shares are quoted in pound in the London Stock Exchange (LSE) and are converted into shillings in the Dar bourse. The pound sterling depreciation is good for investors as listed share on London exchanges are going to be relatively cheap if you buy from outside.
Trading data from London’s Financial Times Stock Exchange (FTSE) showed that Acacia Mining share appreciated by 29.91 per cent in a week time to 454.00p at 13:08 hours last Thursday.
The share on DSE, the largest mining firm in the country, closed at 13,360/- of last Thursday compared to 10,460/- of last previous Friday, reflecting a gain of 27.72 per cent in just five days.
The Acacia share gain has minimised the negative effect of the shilling appreciation a gainst the pound sterling on DSE market cap that slide by merely 1.0 per cent in five days. The firm has cross-listed to DSE from FTSE.
The gold firm, London listed miner, share price on DSE are calculated based on the exchange rate of the day. The last week gain reflected dropping value of British pound against shilling.
Zan Securities, Chief Executive Officer Raphael Masumbuko, sees positive impact on the country and bourse in general. “EU will now regard UK, after Brexit, like any other country outside their union. This means UK investment stops receiving special privilege hence they will channel their investments to other markets like Africa,” he said.
“Remember UK is among top three investors in the country. They may now look to us since we may have opportunities more than some countries in the EU,” Mr Masumbuko said.
He said with pound sterling going down stocks in UK are becoming cheap to foreign investors thus increase the chances of better way of raising capital. “You see, the share price of Acacia was already up.
This was one sign of positive reaction of the Brexit,” Mr Masumbuko said. On the other hand shilling has appreciated over 9.0 per cent against British pound since the United Kingdom voted to exit from European Union.
The shilling gain has pushed down DSE market capitalisation as well by slightly over 1.0 per cent in the same period.
According to Bank of Tanzania (BoT) forex data, climbed up from 3,264/59 of last Friday to 2,955/43 of yesterday, thus making imports from UK relative cheap by 9.0 per cent.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts that by 2019 the Commonwealth will contribute more to the world’s economic output than the EU

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