Treasury Cabinet Secretary Henry Rotich has defied Parliament
and broken the ceilings MPs set in the Budget Policy Statement to
allocate funds to projects considered important by the Jubilee
government.
With the current administration
going into its last full financial year in charge, the majority of the
increases from what Parliament approved in the policy statement have
gone to development projects.
The trend conforms
to the view previously expressed by the Parliamentary Budget Office
that the government would be expected to increase investment in
infrastructure in the pre-election year.
Among
the projects considered important by the coalition is the completion of
the Standard Gauge Railway, whose construction is funded by China, and
which is projected to be finished by June 2017.
In
total, Mr Rotich broke the ceilings set by the National Assembly in the
Budget in 41 out of 87 votes spread across the recurrent and
development expenditures in the ministries and independent offices.
LAPSSET
Among
the big beneficiaries is the Energy and Petroleum ministry, whose
development budget was increased from the Sh89.1 billion recommended by
Parliament to Sh120.1 billion.
In brief
explanations on why the budget ceiling was broken, Mr Rotich indicated
that the money would go to installation of transformers in
constituencies, improvement of liquid petroleum gas distribution network
and to the street-lighting programme.
The development budget of Transport and Infrastructure dockets has been increased by Sh95.6 billion.
MPs had approved a budget ceiling of Sh227.9 billion but Treasury has allocated the ministry Sh323.5 billion for development.
Under
the Department on Infrastructure, the money will go into construction
of 5,000 kilometres of roads, most of them under the delayed annuity
programme.
Treasury also sought to assuage the
fears of MPs, such as Transport Committee chairman Maina Kamanda and his
Energy Committee counterpart Jamleck Kamau, that the Lamu Port South
Sudan Ethiopia Transport corridor project had been abandoned.
The project has been allocated Sh10 billion, which should go into the construction of one of the three berths.
Kenya’s
ambitions in that direction took a major hit over the past two weeks
after Uganda said it would build its oil pipeline through Tanzania
rather than Kenya.
Lapsset was among projects started by retired President Mwai Kibaki that have not continued at the pace initially anticipated.
Treasury
has also set aside Sh13.7 billion for the implementation of the pledge
by President Kenyatta that all remaining internally displaced persons
(IDPs) would be resettled by allocating the Devolution ministry Sh13.7
billion for that.
Under recurrent, the largest
variance from the limits set by Parliament is in the Department for
Interior, which was allocated an additional Sh5.4 billion.
Parliament
had set the limit at Sh98 billion while Treasury has allocated it
Sh103.4 billion. Mr Rotich’s explanation is that this is for security
operations.
Spurred by concern over the
approximately 1,000 ongoing projects that would need Sh3 trillion over
eight and a half years, the MPs had also asked Treasury not to finance
any new projects until the current ones are finished.
Mr Rotich said no new projects except “very critical ones aimed at addressing emerging challenges” have been allocated funding.
“We
have allocated resources to projects which are near completion to
ensure that citizens enjoy the benefits that accrue from them,” Mr
Rotich told Parliament in the notes accompanying the estimates.
The
National Assembly had also asked Mr Rotich to set aside Sh1 billion for
projects under the Economic Stimulus Programme in areas that had not
benefited before. Mr Rotich said Sh500 million has been allocated for
the completion of fresh produce markets.
For
development spending, Sh410 billion is expected to come from domestic
spending but the failure to reduce spending is bound to pile pressure on
the Kenya Revenue Authority (KRA) and technocrats at Treasury on how to
raise the Sh2.27 trillion without sinking the country into further
debt.
Mr Rotich had in January indicated that he
would slash government spending in the next financial year by up to
Sh60 billion to rein in the ballooning budget deficit currently
amounting to 8.7 per cent of GDP.
But with 16
months left to the General Election, it appears the government is under
pressure to implement the promises it made during the 2013 presidential
campaigns.
Also, it is under pressure to
complete the pending initiatives set under Medium Plan 2 of Vision 2030
whose deadline is the end of next year.
Under
the proposals released to Parliament, Treasury said it expects KRA to
increase its revenue collection to Sh1.37 trillion, from the Sh1.18
trillion it had set as the target in the current financial year.
“Much
progress has been achieved towards broadening the tax base and
improving revenue administration. We have simplified and modernised VAT
legislation, Excise Duty and tax procedure legislation while a review of
the Income Tax Act has commenced,” said Mr Rotich.
MISSED TARGETS
However, KRA has for the past three years failed to meet its tax targets.
Among
Treasury’s stated objectives in the Budget is to improve KRA’s
information system security to reduce the number of data security
breaches. It also plans to restructure the authority so that it leads
border control units and stems smuggling.
A consulting firm has also been contracted to scrutinise KRA’s way of working and improve it.
The
government at the beginning of the month announced it had reached an
agreement with China for a Sh60 billion loan to plug a budget deficit it
is facing for the current financial year after KRA said taxes collected
were below a nine-month target of Sh911.6 billion by a significant Sh69
billion.
UNREALISTIC PROJECTIONS
It
remains to be seen whether KRA will attain the revenue collection
targets set but experts say the projections are unrealistic.
“Economic
growth has stagnated because of clear cut policies in investment and
the net effect is a reduction in revenue collection which has prevented
the government from fulfilling its pledges,” said Dr Samuel Nyandemo of
the University of Nairobi’s School of Economics.
In
spite of this situation, the proposed budget does not appear to have
factored in most of the promises by the government that remain
unfulfilled.
Key among them is the development
of ICT incubation hubs in all counties, provision of free milk to every
school-going child, a guarantee that every family has access to a fully
equipped health centre within five miles of their home, construction of
five new stadiums in Kisumu, Mombasa, Nakuru, Eldoret and Garissa, and
increasing the paved road network from 11,000km to 24,000km.
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