Why? Well you have President John Magufuli to thank for that. Last
week as he chaired the East Africa Community Heads of State Summit in
Arusha, the president ordered the EAC Council of Ministers to submit a
report on trade levies for imports coming from outside the EAC.
President Magufuli explained that the move will help wean off the
EAC’s donor dependency and as part of that measure, he suggested the
member states make room in their budgets to contribute to the regional
body.
The move would effectively see consumers opt for more affordable
local goods over expensive imports. This in turn would increase business
for local producers and to meet the increased demand, they would
increase their production capacity which means more job opportunities.
This expansion in production would serve to realise yet another
Magufuli election pledge, to industrialise the country, a will he wants
to see realised across the EAC.
To produce more, companies would increase their production capacity
which other than human resource means an increase in equipment and raw
material and even set up of new plants all together, effectively
industrialising the country.
It seems like a win-win situation for local businesses and communities but that is not what analysts think.
On the contrary, there are concerns that; “levying imports would,
apart from hurting consumers, make EAC commodities less competitive in
external markets. The prices of commodities such as fuel, food, cars,
machinery and second-hand clothes — the most common goods sourced from
outside EAC — and those exported outside the region including
agricultural goods, are likely to go up.”
This is so because as appealing as the EAC market, over 140 million
strong, may be, higher taxes may make the market less attractive. But
as the norm, this increased expense on suppliers will simply be
transferred to the consumer inform of higher prices as pointed out
earlier.
If destination countries take similar measures and increase the
price of our exports making them less attractive to buyers compared to
cheaper options from other countries. Should that be the case, then our
economy would take a hit because revenue from exports would fall.
So this puts us in a dilemma but in the interim, President Magufuli’s double edged sword plan is expected to work.
Levy on imports will increase revenue that will fund EAC’s projects
instead of waiting for donors and on the hand higher prices of imports
will make consumers turn to local goods boosting local businesses and if
this increased demand is sustained then the country will soon see new
factories mushrooming as will service businesses to cater for the
related logistics.
All this activity will create more and more jobs a scenario that
will see household incomes increase taking the people out of the
clutches of poverty. So again, to President Magufuli we say, a job well
done.
SOURCE:
THE GUARDIAN
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