The building designed like a castle at Brookhouse International school
in Nairobi. There are other castles in Kenya but most are as old as six
decades. Photo/Courtesy
Kenya’s economic fortunes have primarily been
tied to the country’s weather patterns, but not recently. The cost of
credit is joining the country’s rain-fed agriculture in determining
wealth and pace of economic growth.
For this reason, the Central Bank of Kenya has
over the past two years been working on policies geared at boosting
credit flow through cheaper bank loans, but lenders are not moving in
tandem.
Borrowing costs remain expensive and drastic
changes in Central Bank Rate (CBR), the cost at which the regulator
lends to banks, has not had a similar effect on private sector credit
growth.
The World Bank is blaming the Treasury for this
state of affairs. It accuses the government of distorting the loans
market with its heavy domestic borrowing and unpredictable pricing of
its debt.
The volatility in the pricing of government debt
is forcing commercial banks to raise lending rates because they lack a
reliable means of determining the expected returns from their investment
in Treasury bills and bonds.
This uncertainty has pushed banks to keep lending
rates high enough for private borrowers to shield them against possible
losses in the event that the rates on the state paper drops.
This year alone, Treasury Bill rates have dropped
to a low of five per cent and risen to a high of 12 per cent, reflecting
the volatility that the World Bank is pointing at.
The expensive loans have hit key sectors of the
economy like manufacturing, retail and construction that are not getting
enough credit to boost Kenyans’ purchasing power and prop up the
private sector through increased demand for goods and services.
The slackened consumer demand for goods and
services has dimmed the capacity of many Kenyan firms to boost
production that will offer some room for fresh hiring and stop
executives mulling over cutting jobs to preserve cash and profits.
This outlook has since last year prompted the
CBK’s Monetary Policy Committee from mid last year to act and re-look at
policies that were geared at curbing inflation and lending rates by
making cuts on the benchmark rate.
But the World Bank report notes that cuts on the
benchmark rate are not enough and the State should curb its appetite for
borrowing.
This should include embracing public private
partnerships that will reduce the burden of funding expensive
infrastructure projects that account for a huge share of the debts.
Absorption of funds by State agencies must be
addressed too. Why have funds allocated to State agencies gone unused
only for the government to borrow to fix deficient ministries?
Therefore, control of government debt will shape the level and pace of wealth creation.
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