Tuesday, May 21, 2024

Higher populations scaling back five regions’ GDP per capita

Daniel Masolwa, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) director

Photo: Courtesy of NBS
Daniel Masolwa, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) director

By Mnaku Mbani , The Guardian

AVERAGE GDP per capita experienced positive growth in most Mainland regions during the past three years, with exceptions of five regions.

Daniel Masolwa, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) director of economic statistics said in an interview yesterday that provisional data for 2022 and revised data for 2020 show that the national GDP per capita  for Tanzania Mainland grew to 2.84m/- in 2022 from 2.59m/- in 2020, although  GDP per capita  of 15 regions were still below the national average.

Coast, Katavi, Rukwa, Geita and Dodoma regions recorded declines in GDP per capita  from 2020 to 2022, with their GDP per capita dropping below the national average, with the decline attributed to higher rates of population increase.

Calculating regional GDP per capita takes up the region’s GDP and the total number of people, he said, noting that if one of these variables increases or decreases in relation to other regions, it would definitely create the GDP per capita difference in results, the director explained.

Coast Region, where the population has grown sharply on the basis of the Population and Housing Census of 2022 was the most salutary example, he stated, urging regional administrations to take measures to either create conditions for expanding economic activities and controlling high population growth.

NBS provisional data for 2022 shows that the regional GDP per capita for Coast Region amounted to 1.69m/-, significantly below the 2.2m/- recorded in 2020, despite increased regional GDP at current market price to 3.43trn/- in 2022, from 2.92trn/- in 2020, he stated.

The 2022 survey findings indicate that the region’s population roughly doubled to 2.02m in 2022 from 1.09m in 2021, an average growth rate of 6.1 percent, the second highest behind Katavi Region, he said.

The regional GDP per capita for Katavi Region declined to 1.91m/- in 2022,  from 2.42m/- in 2020, amid expansion of the region’s economic size to 2.29trn/- from 1.95trn/- earlier.

Katavi Region population by the2022 census had more than doubled to 1.15m by 2022, compared to 564,604 in 2012, translating into 7.1 annual growth rate, the highest countrywide, he stated, highlighting the GDP per capita drop for Rukwa.

It stood at 2.32m/- in 2022 compared to 2.45m/- in 2020, despite expanded size of the regional economy to 3.5trn/- compared to 3.1trn/- earlier, as it had a relatively high 4.3 percent annual growth from 1.0m in 2012 to 1.5m in 2022, above the 2.7 per cent national yearly average.

Geita Region GDP per capita declined to 2.58m/- in 2022, compared to 2.68m/- in 2020, despite the expanded size of the regional economy to 7.7trn/- from 6.5trn/- earlier, he said, noting that its size of population grew to 2.9m in 2022, compared to 1.7m in 2012, an annual growth of 5.6 percent and third highest countrywide, doubling the national average in excess.

Dodoma Region GDP per capita slid to 1.71m/- in 2022 from 1.72m/-in 2020, a telling impact even as regional economic size rose to 5.3trn/- from 4.5trn/- earlier. The region’s population expanded to 3.08m in 2022 from 2.08m in 2012, a 3.9 per cent growth rate, a percentage higher than the national average and sixth highest countrywide, he added.

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