President William Ruto during Kakamega International Investment conference at Masinde Muliro university of science and technology on March 20, 2029. [Benjamin Sakwa, Standard]
By Jacob Ng’etich
Looking at his political chessboard and how he has been playing
the all-telling game, keen political observers may have noted that President
William Samoei Ruto could perhaps be an emerging political enigma of Kenya’s
politics.
In less than two years of his first term in office, Kenya’s 5th President has
managed to amass what could be seen as an expansion of his reach and control with little or no obstructions in the way he wants things done. And now, it only takes his goodwill not to be a Kenyan strongman. Despite the safeguards of the 2010 Constitution, today’s Parliament has become his political Pentecostal echo chamber, a wussy Opposition that looks disgruntled, an ailing civil society, a confused clergy that is more of the Head of State’s choir, a Judiciary that is ready to hold talks with him at State House following strong critique by him and signs of playing a Machiavellian game of independent media.The recent assault on the independent media, which the government
has denied advertisements, could be one of the last attempts in the absolute
consolidation of power and the muzzling of ‘unwanted noise’.
Ruto’s political coalition has 201 legislators in the National
Assembly, a near absolute majority especially after
retired President Uhuru Kenyatta’s Jubilee party MPs quickly played ball, running
away from their opposition coalition, Azimio, and pledging allegiance to Ruto’s
Kenya Kwanza administration. Today, in Kenya’s Parliament, there is
little or almost no impediment to what the President wants passed. Passage of
the controversial Finance Act 2023, followed by succeeding laws that have
loaded Kenyans with a heavy tax burden can be cited as good case study in this
debate.
A hands-on President, Ruto, sources indicate, has in the past
personally called legislators including some from the Opposition when he wants
his business in the House given a nod.
Unlike his predecessor Uhuru Kenyatta, Ruto enjoys a warm
political relationship with the legislature that he controls and in the last
nearly two years in office, no Bill has stalled in the bicameral Parliament.
The best the minority side has done has been to walk out as happened during the
passing of the Affordable Housing Bill in March.
During his visit to Parliament during the State of the Nation
address last year, parliamentarians in the government coalition and those in
the opposition fell over their feet to get the President’s eye.
President William Ruto shares a light moment with
Catholic Bishops Machakos Diocese, Norman Kingoo, Wote Diocese, Paul Kariuki
(behind) and Nyahururu's Joseph Mbatia (extreme left) during a church service
in Wote, Makueni County. [PCS]
A year into his presidency, Ruto’s government suffered several
blows following rulings by the Judiciary that seemed to halt a number of the
president’s flagship projects including the Affordable Housing Programme, the
revamping of healthcare, and a series of other projects that left Ruto
jilted.
While speaking at at a funeral in Nyandarua county in January,
President Ruto said that he would begin ignoring court orders, a warning that
jolted the Judiciary after he accused some judges of being part of a cartel
that is conspiring to frustrate government programmes.
“We will not allow these people to derail our plans,” he said as
he directed Roads Principal Secretary Joseph Mbugua to move with speed and
allocate funds for the construction of a road in Nyandarua County which had
stalled following a court order.
Driven to the wall by Ruto’s tough call,
the Judiciary in a statement signed by none other than Chief Justice Martha
Koome admitted that there were suspects of corruption within the bench. That
was followed by accepting to join a meeting at State House chaired by the
President.
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Immediately thereafter, Azimio la Umoja Leader Raila criticised
the Ruto and Koome meeting, terming it an irresponsible move. Raila noted that
such a meeting should have happened at a neutral place.
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“State House is the home of the Executive. That is where the
president resides. If there is going to be a dialogue over issues of
governance, it should be held on a neutral ground,” he said.
Despite hard hitting criticisms from the opposition, Ruto on
Monday, January 22, 2024, held the planned meeting with Koome, after the two
arms of government had constant conflicts over corruption allegations.
The meeting was, however, broadened to include the parliamentary
leadership to give the look of heads of the three arms of government consulting
and not the Executive and Judiciary alone. It was attended by National Assembly
Speaker Moses Wetang’ula, Leader of Majority Kimani Ichungwa, Deputy Chief
Justice Philomena Mwilu, Attorney General Justin Muturi and Solicitor General
Shadrack Mose.
“The Judiciary is being held hostage by the Executive, and we’ve
seen this before. We saw it happen under previous presidents, and we’ve tried
to caution the current CJ not to go to bed with the Executive,” Raila
cautioned.
He further termed the move as an unfortunate development, and
hoped that the rest of the members of the Judiciary will not be
compromised.
Political Scientist Dismus Mokua, however, avers Kenya’s Judiciary
is yet to be ensnared by the Executive.
“The Judiciary has maintained both institutional and decisional
independence consistent with the 2010 Constitution,” he said, adding: “A
meeting between Heads of Arms of Government does not rob the judiciary of her
independence.”
He said the three arms of government are expected to do regular
coffee meetings aligned to “Moraa”’s interests and aspirations.
Such coffee meetings cannot compromise their independence.
“Judges and magistrates retain decisional independence. In fact, a
number of judges have pronounced themselves on petitions around President
Ruto’s priority projects and made Kenya Kwanza to go back and recalibrate in
adherence to court action. The Affordable Housing Act comes to mind,” Mokua
said.
With the Judiciary falling into his plan- of holding talks - a
political gimmick, Ruto’s next move was to clip the wings of the
Opposition.
Azimio la Umoja One Kenya Coalition was giving the president
headaches with a series of demonstrations that triggered restlessness in
Nairobi, Kisumu, Mombasa and a host of other towns.
The protests seemed to gain momentum, bolstered by a complaining
country because of a weak economy, high food prices, majority of Kenyans
struggling to make ends meet and the falling value of the shilling, leading to
unease at the House on the Hill.
Ruto send signals that he was ready for talks, albeit rather
informally through a tweet while he was headed to Tanzania.
“My friend @RailaOdinga, I’m off to Tanzania for a human
capital meeting to harmonise the expansion of employment opportunities in our
continent. I’m back tomorrow evening, and as you have always known, I’m
available to meet one on one with you anytime at your convenience. WsR,” read
the president’s tweet.
Rarieda MP Otiende Amollo questioned the president’s motives,
doubting whether he was ready for dialogue. Speaking during an interview
on Spice FM, Otiende said he did not see the need for the president to tweet.
“I find the tweet by Ruto interesting. I didn’t think that if
William Ruto wants to speak to Raila he tweets him. I thought he would just
give him a phone call or even send someone to do so. It has happened before,”
he said.
Talks would, however ensue, eventually to the National Dialogue
Committee (Nadco) report that has since been overshadowed by Ruto’s push to
have Raila clinch the African Union Commission chairman’s job.
It has been described by pundits as Ruto’s way of managing Raila
and disempowering the Opposition.
In a move seen as seeking to silence the independent media, the
Principal Secretary of Broadcasting at the Ministry of ICT Edward Kisiangani
decreed that only KBC and Radio Africa are eligible for broadcast and
print/online adverts respectively.
Kitui Senator Enoch Wambua, however, believes that dwindling
fortunes of media houses is not entirely as a result of this, saying there are
many reasons, including the booming social/alternative media spaces.
He argues that media has lacked targeted and sustained investment
in emerging global media trends like investigative journalism, convergence and
day two journalism.
“You should be careful not to give bad governance undue reverence
by crediting it for consequences of global market realities,” said Wambua.
What is clear, however, is that today, Ruto can get away with any
political and socio-economic blunder in his government without few or no
fingers pointing in his direction.
Politicians from the government side however hold a contrary view.
Belgut MP Nelson Koech told The Sunday Standard: “Ruto is a
democrat and respects the separation of power.He is committed to the ideals of
democracy but he is a consummate politician who knows how to play politics. You
cannot fault him for enjoying the approval ratings of the majority,” said
Koech.
Senator Wambua, on his part, said the so-called State capture of
all other arms of government is overrated for obvious political reasons; to
create the misleading impression that voices of dissent will be easily drowned.
President William Ruto during
Kakamega International Investment conference at Masinde Muliro university of
science and technology on March 20, 2029. [Benjamin
Sakwa, Standard]
“The truth of the matter is that political greed is as old as
democracy. This is not the first time politicians elected on one party have
crossed over to work with the party forming the government of the day “for the
sake of development for my people”. This is a tired cliche and we all know how
and where such politicians end up,” said Wambua.
Political Scientist Dismas Mokua said Ruto has played statecraft
management cleverly.
“President Ruto has secured support and numbers to execute his
administration’s legislative agenda. It is the dream of all heads of
governments to have a legislature that is aligned to the administration’s
legislative priorities,” said Mokua.
He acknowledged that President Ruto has faced minimal, if at all,
legislative challenges because the minority either by omission or commission
have not come up with alternative legislative proposals. The minority he
said opts to walk out when they are in fact expected to engage in high debate.
President Ruto could be the president who has probably held the
highest number of parliamentary group meetings in the history of independent
Kenya. Parliamentary Group meetings are useful in establishing priorities
and aligning the Administration’s agenda.
Unlike in the Moi, Kibaki and Uhuru administrations where civil society and
the clergy had alternative voices and checkmated government, the current church
is looking to only await their turn to host the President in their sanctuaries
where awe stricken ‘men -of -God’ grin as they greet the Head of State in
amazement.
With the church humbled to only preach the word, the civil society
and the and unions are competing on who will praise the head of state
louder.
Just like the Kenyatta and Moi era politicians, Ruto today has the
whims to run his politics in the way knows best with little checks from the
quarters thanks to his charisma, political hindsight and wizardry.
Away from controlling the three arms of government, President Ruto
has tactfully run his coalition with wit, pulling ping-pong political games
with those around him.
His deputy, Rigathi Gachagua, has appeared to limit his operations
around Mt Kenya where emerging undercurrents have not spared him. He has faced
resistance against him led by Kiharu lawmaker Ndindi Nyoro.
Despite an earlier bromance where the two were shown shaking
hands, the DP has looked lonely. That alone has contributed to edifying the
President, making him emerge as the only politico in the Kenya Kwanza
coalition, and, therefore, the country, with a thorough- bred national image.
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