Summary
· AfCFTA's plan is to boost intra-African trade by 60 percent by 2034 by eliminating almost all tariffs, creating an economic bloc of 1.3 billion people with a combined gross domestic product of $3.4 trillion.
·
This
year's summit comes at a "delicate moment" for Africa, according to
the International Crisis Group (ICG) think tank, citing Ethiopia's nascent
peace process, conflicts in the Democratic Republic of Congo, the Sahel region,
South Sudan and jihadist insurgencies in Somalia and Mozambique.
Nairobi.Three years ago, amid a blaze of optimism, African leaders
officially launched a new continent-wide free trade area after 17 years of
haggling.
But as the leaders travel to Addis
Ababa for the annual African Union summit this weekend, transforming the
blockbuster pact into reality remains a tough ask.
The African Continental Free Trade
Agreement (AfCFTA), billed as the biggest free trade accord in the world in
terms of population, gathers 54 out of 55 African countries, with Eritrea the
only holdout.
Two days of talks under the theme "Acceleration of AfCFTA implementation" open on Saturday.
President Samia Suluhu Hassan
arrives at Bole International Airport in Addis Ababa yesterday to attend the
36th Ordinary Session of the Assembly of Heads of State and Government of the
African Union scheduled for tomorrow and Sunday. PHOTO | STATE HOUSE
AfCFTA's plan is to boost
intra-African trade by 60 percent by 2034 by eliminating almost all tariffs,
creating an economic bloc of 1.3 billion people with a combined gross domestic
product of $3.4 trillion.
African countries currently trade
only about 15 percent of their goods and services with each other, compared to
more than 65 percent with European countries.
If fully implemented, AfCFTA would
lift 50 million Africans out of extreme poverty and raise incomes by nine
percent by 2035, according to the World Bank.
But implementation has fallen well
short of that goal, running into hurdles including disagreements over tariff
reductions and border closures caused by the Covid pandemic.
'Rattled
economies'
This year's summit comes at a
"delicate moment" for Africa, according to the International Crisis
Group (ICG) think tank, citing Ethiopia's nascent peace process, conflicts in
the Democratic Republic of Congo, the Sahel region, South Sudan and jihadist
insurgencies in Somalia and Mozambique.
Russia's invasion of Ukraine and
Western sanctions that followed "have rattled African economies and left
many in deep distress", ICG adds, with food prices shooting up.
While Europe's internal market is
knitted together by energy pipelines, motorways, railways and flight routes,
Africa is playing catch-up, with decrepit infrastructure and corruption
handicapping the process.
Analysts say the obstacles, which
range from ubiquitous red tape to the entrenched protectionism of some
countries, must be overcome for Africa to achieve the coveted single market.
"There is a declared political
will, but it will take a long time to put in place," Paul-Simon Handy,
regional director of the Institute for Security Studies in Addis Ababa, told
AFP.
Dorine Nininahazwe, African Union
director of US-headquartered non-profit ONE Campaign, agreed.
"There are fears from certain
African countries that with opening borders, they will have an influx of people
they cannot control," Nininahazwe told AFP.
'Total
renunciation'
The summit, long criticised for
being ineffectual, will also aim to address the raging conflict in eastern DR
Congo.
Rebels, many of them a legacy of
regional wars that flared during the 1990s and the early 2000s, have sown chaos
in the mineral-rich east and sparked a diplomatic row with neighbouring Rwanda,
which is accused of backing the M23 militia.
The African Union scored some
success in November last year in fostering a peace deal in Ethiopia between the
federal government and the Tigray People's Liberation Front.
Sudan, Mali, Guinea and Burkina
Faso, four countries that have witnessed military coups, will also be seeking
to rejoin the AU.
But their chances are limited,
according to Handy.
"The reintegration of these
juntas into the AU would be a total renunciation, it will not be the priority
at all," he said.
Comoros President Azali Assoumani,
leader of the small Indian Ocean archipelago of almost 900,000 people, is due
to take over the one-year rotating AU chairmanship from Senegal's Macky Sall.
The 64-year-old Assoumani will
"require the support of other senior African leaders to discharge the
role, given his country's limited diplomatic heft", according to ICG.
At least 35 presidents and four
prime ministers will be attending the summit, Ethiopia's foreign ministry
spokesman Meles Alem said on Tuesday, without giving names.
So far, Nigeria, South Africa,
Zimbabwe, Zambia, Mozambique, Lesotho, Botswana and Congo-Brazzaville have
confirmed they will be sending their presidents.
Last year, unease flared over the
accreditation of Israel as an observer at the AU, triggering a rare dispute
within a body that values consensus.
The summit suspended a debate on
whether to withdraw the accreditation and a committee was formed to address the
issue. It is not clear if AU will take up the matter this year.
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