By
Olumide AdesinaGlobal investors are hoping for better returns in the U.S stock
markets, amid a plunge in returns recorded across its market spectrum.
What we know
The blue-chip Dow just ended the month of October with a 4.6% loss,
marking its worst monthly performance since March. The S&P 500 and
the Nasdaq dropped by 2.8% and 2.3% last month respectively – both
suffering their second straight negative month.
The major stocks indexes had a bad showing in October, as seen coming
off their worst week since March 20, as COVID-19 cases explode at an
alarming rate, fiscal stimulus negotiations are torn apart, and shares
of leading tech brands like Amazon and Apple dropped following their
quarterly earnings reports.
What they are saying
Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at
Axi, in a note to Nairametrics, gave further insights on the performance
of U.S equities and how the upcoming U.S election would affect its
volatility at least in the near term.
Risk reduction into the US election should allow asset prices to
react more consistently with outcome-based scenarios after the event.
Last week, the S&P 500 (-5.6%) and front-month WTI (-10.2%)
recorded their largest weekly declines since March. The underperformance
of reflationary trades over the past week (lower industrial metal
prices, EM equities, and a stronger USD) suggests improving risk: reward
in these assets on a Democratic sweep of Congress.
What to expect
The US election will determine how much fiscal stimulus is possible
and whether there will be a new trade war with China. Both the axes are
pivotal to USD/Asia’s 2021 outlook.
No comments :
Post a Comment