By
Abiola OdutolaThe Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has assured that the nation’s
economy will grow by 2% in 2021. The apex bank is optimistic that its
various intervention will make Nigeria emerge out of recession in the
first quarter of 2021.
This was disclosed by the Governor, CBN, Godwin Emefiele while
delivering his keynote address at the 55th Annual Bankers Dinner of the
Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN) in Lagos on Friday.
What he is saying
He said, “We expect that growth in 2021 would attain 2.0 percent. It
is important to insulate the economy from shocks that may undermine the
attainment of the projected 2.0 percent economic growth.
“However, downside risks remain, as restoration of full economic
activities, particularly in service-related sectors, remains uncertain
until a COVID vaccine is produced and made available to millions of
people across the world.
“Second, with the significant rise in cases in advanced markets
and the imposition of lockdowns in parts of Europe, concerns remain on
the impact this could have on growth in advanced economies, commodity
prices and the financial markets.”
He emphasized on the need to find ways to insulate the economy from
the impact of these shocks through diversification efforts, while also
working to ensure that the nation adheres to safety protocols in order
to prevent a surge in COVID-19 related cases, as this could further
cripple economic activities.
Stop overdramatizing analysis
Emefiele appealed to economic analysts to stay clear from analysis
that can create panic and thus hamper the economic recovery process. “When you overdramatized you create panic in the system and that slows down the process of recovery.
“Our actions in 2021 would be guided by the considerations that
emerged from the Monetary Policy Committee meeting of November 23 &
24, 2020, which sought to address the major headwinds exerting downward
pressure on output growth and upward pressure on domestic prices,” he added.
Mr. Emefiele has often accused “armchair” economists of making exaggerated comments when expressing their views on the economy.
What you need to know
On November 23, 2020, Nairametrics reported that the Minister for
Finance, Budget and National Planning, Mrs. Zainab Ahmed, said the
country will exit recession by the first quarter of 2021 as the
government is working towards reversing the declining economic trend in
the country.
- The Finance Minister said the COVID-19-induced recession followed
the pattern across the
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