By
Olumide AdesinaCrude oil prices rallied impressively higher. Oil bulls are roaring
hard on reports showing multiple COVID-19 vaccine makers delivered
positive outcomes on their progress.
- At the time of filing this report, Brent oil futures broke above $44/barrel.
- West Texas Intermediate futures gained 0.60% to trade at $41.59/barrel.
Moderna Inc. recently disclosed its candidate mRNA-1273 has
considerably greater efficacy and better storage conditions than its
arch American rivals, Pfizer Inc. and BioNTech product, BNT162b, raising
hopes that the days of COVID-19 pandemic are now numbered.
Such macro is triggering oil bulls to beak their old resistance
level with oil traders pinning their hopes on a rise in energy demand
for 2021.
What they are saying
Stephen Innes, Chief Global Market Strategist at
Axi, in a note to Nairametrics, also attributed the gains seen lately to
macros coming from COVID-19 vaccines, triggering more risk-taking.
“It has been a solid start to the week for oil markets,
reflecting the vaccine tailwind driving strong risk appetite across all
assets.
“Although, COVID-19 cases continue to mount, the economic impact
at present appears lessened by low desire to return economies to full
lockdown – the incoming Biden team indicated as much at the weekend,
flagging its preference for targeted measures.
“On the supply side, the Baker Hughes rig count showed a +10 w/w
build to 236, continues to advance off the lows but is still very far
below the ~400 needed to maintain production in the lower 48. Still,
sentiment around the short-term oil price will be determined by
COVID-19 demand effects and OPEC+ actions to offset them. At the same
time, the longer-term market is a vaccine-driven one.”
Bottom line
It is fair to say that the surprising news coming out from the
world-leading COVID-19 vaccine markers viewing through the lens of oil
markets, there are good chances of social mobility returning close to
the pre-COVID-19 era later in 2021, thereby boosting the already
weakened energy demand prevailing around the world.
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