THERE is much to
celebrate about Vision 2020 highly successful comprehensive programme in
Zanzibar which marked a milestone in archipelago history of development
since its revolution in
1964.
The 20-year
programme, since its inception in 2000, has been a visionary initiative
that has shown extensive results on the development of Zanzibar and
ongoing social, economic, and political changes for the people in the
Islands.
"We are happy with
the successful initiatives of Vision 2020. We see achievements in all
areas of development. Health, education, and provision of basic social
services, among other things," says Mr Kombo Juma, 51, from Tumbatu, a
small island off the coast of Zanzibar.
He says the small Island north of Unguja, has electricity connected through sea cable, health facilities, and improved schools.
Evaluating the
'Vision 2020', as the 'new vision 2050' programme starts, government
authorities here say it was a success, although there still challenges
that need to be addressed to achieve development goals shifted to the
next programme.
The evaluation
survey has proved that the 'vision 2020' was a success. It aimed at
improving the standard of living of its people by building competitive
economy, healthy society and establishing and implementing peace,
stability and unity among its citizens," says the Director of
Communications, Zanzibar State House Mr Hassan Khatib Hassan.
He argues that by
using its medium-term national strategies, the assessment managed to
guide and track the implementation of the vision and identified the gaps
that need to be addressed after the vision reached its end in June this
year to pave the way for the 'New Zanzibar Development Vision 2050.'
The evaluation
shows that Zanzibar managed to reach the lower middle-income country as
envisaged by the Vision 2020 main target. This achievement was
contributed by progress made in various economic sectors such as
agriculture, services, industry to mention a few.
While Zanzibar
boasts being among the low middle-income country, after the end of
'vision 2020, the achievement which most of the least developing
countries want to accomplish. However, most of the low-income countries
that rapidly graduate to middle income economy find it difficult to
sustain rapid growth after they reach middle-income status.
Only few low middle-income countries, located mainly in East Asia, have successfully made the transition to high income status.
"Therefore, while
we celebrate the achievement of being among countries with low
middle-income economy, we need to prepare for the big task ahead of us
of continuing to improve our economy to move to the next level," Mr
Hassan says.
Further, he says,
there are also consequences of being middle income including decrease or
less support/assistance from development partners (bilateral and
multilateral), and taking the business (market) loans instead of
concessional loans, "Therefore, the new Vision 2050 should address this
phenomenon very well to ensure sustainability of the status and the
wellbeing of the people."
According to the
evaluation report lesson learned from the implementation of 'vision
2020' include improvement in reducing poverty and improving the
livelihood, the proportion of people living below food poverty reduced
from 13.4 per cent in 2004/05 to 10.8 per cent in 2014/15.
Rural households
are more prone to the poverty compared to urban households. The economy
has been growing at the annual rate of not less than four per cent (the
minimum growth was 4.3 per cent recorded in 2008 and 2010).
However, the
current is about seven percent; it has not reached the targeted rate of 9
per cent to 10 per cent as deemed necessary to eradicate abject
poverty. Per capital GDP has been used as a major indicator to measure
Vision's achievement with regards to target of reaching low
middle-income country (LMIC) status.
Zanzibar per capita
income was USD 1,114 in 2019 implying that Zanzibar has reached the low
middle-income country threshold of per capita income of USD 1,026.
Tourism sector has been contributing Zanzibar economic growth from 2000
to date.
The correlation
between GDP and number of tourist arrival was 0.9 which shows that there
is a high relationship between economic growth and tourism growth in
Zanzibar.
The number of fish
catches has been increasing over years from 20,343 tons in 2002 to
36,728 tons in 2019, and the value of fish catches has been grown up
from TZS 616 per kilogramme in 2002 to TZS 5,354 per kilogramme in 2019
as well.
But the
contribution of fish sector to the GDP has been less than five from 2000
to 2010 and between 5.0 to 6.6 per cent in 2010 and above. The social
services have improved, with increasing number of health facilities and
number of services as well as number of schools and other services.
Zanzibar managed to
provide free health services and free education as was the aim of the
Revolution that was carried in 1964. In his speeches at different
occasions including revolution anniversaries, President Ali Mohamed
Shein, who is finalizing his ten year term in office has talked out the
successes of the 'vision 2020.'
Dr Shein mentioned
that the overall socio-economic development goal of the Vision 2020 was
to eradicate abject poverty and attain sustainable human development.
"This has been
achieved along with developing a strong, diversified, resilient and
competitive agriculture, industry, tourism and other productive
socioeconomic sectors to cope up with the challenges of the changing
market and technological conditions in the world economy."
Attaining a nation
whose way of life reflects the highest level of ingenuity,
self-confidence and self-esteem, culture, resource base and aspirations;
and achieving peace, political stability, good governance, integrity,
national unity and social cohesion are other goals achieved under the
vision.
Zanzibar has also
witnessed goods results of the vision: Modernized production and
delivery systems of goods and services to meet the basic needs in the
society and attain international competitiveness in the leading sectors;
and attain higher degree of foreign direct investment that will inject
sound capital, create full employment [by 2020] and attain positive
balance of trade in the export market.
The president's
points have highlighted in the evaluation report, which says that the
Vision's target with regards to poverty was to eradicate abject poverty
(food poverty) or at least reduce it to 10 per cent.
Based on 2019/20
Zanzibar Household Budget Survey (HBS), Zanzibar has managed to reduce
the proportion of people living below food poverty to 9.3 per cent.
Despite the fact
that Zanzibar has made significant improvement in reducing poverty and
improving the livelihood of its people, from 13.2 per cent in 2004/05 to
this value, poverty in rural areas is still a major problem that
requires relentless efforts and needs to be addressed more seriously in
the forthcoming Vision 2050.
Food Security:
According to 2019/20 HBS report, proportion of households which were
food secured in Zanzibar was 48.5 per cent in 2019/20 decreased from
51.4 per cent in 2014/15. The proportion of household with food security
for the rural areas was 41.0 per cent while for urban areas was about
58.9 per cent (HBS, 2019/20).
"Zanzibar has yet
to attain food security in terms of food self-sufficiency, food
accessibility and nutrition. The islands still depend on food imports as
domestic production is based on subsistence farming that heavily relies
on rainfall," the report says this area also needs special attention in
the formulation of the forthcoming Vision 2050.
Economic Growth:
Zanzibar economy recorded positive results since the inception of the
Zanzibar Vision (ZV) 2020. Over the past twenty years, the economy has
been growing at the annual rate of not less than four per cent (the
minimum growth was 4.3 per cent recorded in 2008, 2010 and 2010).
The Vision's target
was to record the economic growth rate of 9 to 10 per cent by the year
2020. Even though Zanzibar has been performing well in terms of economic
growth rate compared with many other developing countries, the recorded
growth rate of 7.0 in 2019 is still lower than the targeted rate of 9
per cent to 10 per cent as deemed necessary to eradicate abject poverty.
Reasons for missing
the Vision's target include slow development of private sector, and
poor linkages between tourism sectors and other domestic sectors such as
agriculture and industry. Agricultural transformation lies at the core
of poverty reduction, food security, and nutrition.
In this area
Zanzibar has made significant achievements in self-sufficiency in food
and food security, through increased food crops, livestock and fisheries
production as well as increased agricultural products for export.
This achievement is
highly influenced by the modernization of agriculture that ensured that
the sector can satisfy 50 per cent or more of local food production as
planned by the ZV 2020, and promotion of alternative cash crop
production for export.
Authorities from
Ministries: responsible for finance and planning: and Agriculture say
that the application of modern technology in paddy irrigation has
increased rice production over the last twenty years. The rising trend
of rice production from 15,935 tons in 2005 to 46,472 tons in 2019 is an
encouraging achievement that needs to be enhanced.
Finance and
Planning Minister Ambassador Mohamed Ramia Abdiwawa says Zanzibar
Government in collaboration with World Bank and the EXIM Bank of Korea
invested about US$ 70 million in order to increase annual paddy
production from 46,472 tons in 2019 to 80,000 tons in 2024.
Agriculture and
Livestock Minister Mr Mmanga Mjengo Mjawir said "The investment will
increase over 200 per cent of irrigation infrastructure in Zanzibar from
current 810 hectare to 2,457 hectares at different area in Unguja and
Pemba."
He says that the
Government Agency for Tractors and Farm Machineries Services has been
established to enhance the efficiency of the tractors and other
extension services. Since its establishment performance of tractors
repair and maintenance of the agricultural machinery and equipment have
been done timely.
Indeed, over the
years, major achievement was attained whereby ten harvesting machines
and number of tractors have been gradually increased from 20 to 47.
Similarly, to meet the capacity required and satisfy farmers demand,
initiatives is underway to increase number of tractors from 47 to 100.
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