Summary
- The Federation of Kenya Employers (FKE) says the current level of strain on corporate earnings could “possibly the worst since 1992-1997” period, and that it is difficult to ascertain how long the coronavirus-triggered damage will last.
- In the 1990s, the country’s macroeconomic fundamentals — such as inflation, exchange rate, debt sustainability and balance of payments — were routed by massive corruption, insecurity and political instability that resulted in investors fleeing the country.
- This prompted the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to prescribe painful structural economic reforms that included, among others, voluntary retrenchment in public sector in what was later to be known as “golden handshake”.
More than 600 companies have shed jobs since the onset of the
Covid-19 crisis in March, a staggering number that employers say could
be the worst since economic downturn of the early to mid-1990s.
The
Federation of Kenya Employers (FKE) says the current level of strain on
corporate earnings could “possibly the worst since 1992-1997” period,
and that it is difficult to ascertain how long the coronavirus-triggered
damage will last.
In the 1990s, the country’s
macroeconomic fundamentals — such as inflation, exchange rate, debt
sustainability and balance of payments — were routed by massive
corruption, insecurity and political instability that resulted in
investors fleeing the country.
This prompted the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) to prescribe painful structural
economic reforms that included, among others, voluntary retrenchment in
public sector in what was later to be known as “golden handshake”.
“Covid-19
has caused an untold human suffering globally and it will leave an
unforgettable impact on enterprises,” FKE executive director Jacqueline
Mugo told the Business Daily.
Quoting statistics from the Labour Ministry, Ms Mugo added: “We
have seen the adverse psychological effect of Covid-19 on employers and
employees, which has altered behaviour and the culture system at the
workplace.”
The result is that some 604 companies have
rendered some of their workers redundant and declared the job cuts to
the Ministry of Labour in line with the law. This raises the possibility
that the firms could be more given not all companies complied with the
legal requirement.
The Covid-19 containment measures,
enforced on March 25, and its uncertainty saw companies scale down
operating hours which in turn hit their sales resulting in reduced
earnings.
The firms, as a result, have kept a tight lid
on operating costs by cutting their workforce, slashing salaries and
adopting unpaid leave policies.
The crisis in the job
market has, however, been around for some years now despite the economy
growing above five percent on average in the past decade.
FKE,
for instance, says more than 7,000 workers amongst its members alone
were laid off in 2019, largely on mergers and acquisitions, ban on
timber logging and fresh regulations in the education sector. “High
labour costs, competition and technological advancement in the
manufacturing further led to job losses and closure of companies in the
sector,” Ms Mugo said. “There could be more unreported cases.”
A
quarterly labour force survey by the Kenya National Bureau of
Statistics (KNBS) published early in June suggested that some 287,481
Kenyans lost their jobs in the first three months of the year, with the
situation worsening from April due to partial trade lockdowns and travel
restrictions.
WORSENING CRISIS
This
came on the back of formal jobs created in 2019 falling to 78,400 last
year from 80,800 in 2018, the lowest in seven years, according to the
Economic Survey 2020.
The crisis is seen worsening this
year with the economic fallout as a result of the pandemic wreaking
havoc in most of the sectors, and economic growth projected at about 1.0
percent.
“In
this changing working environment and work culture, employers will be
looking for employees who are agile and can perform more than one job
function,” Ms Mugo said.
“This calls for a workforce
that is flexible and ready to embrace technology in delivering sales and
overall goals for enterprises.”
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