The latest banking sector
report indicating that the loans default rate hit a 13-year high in
April has
once again highlighted the debilitating effects that Covid-19 containment measures have had on the economy.
once again highlighted the debilitating effects that Covid-19 containment measures have had on the economy.
These
grim figures should provide food for thought as the National Treasury
prepares to unveil the 2010/21 fiscal measures on Thursday. The budget
measures must adequately address how the entire economy can live with
Covid-19 since the government has opted to extend its lockdown on the
economy for another 30 days.
Otherwise, anxiety over
rapid spread of the deadly disease had depressed economy from as early
as late January, long before the country detected its first Covid-19
case on March 12.
Latest Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)
data shows that the ratio of non-performing loans rose from 12.5 percent
to 13.1 percent by end of April, the highest since August 2007 when it
stood at 14.41 percent.
Borrowers default on loans all
the time but financial institutions only classify them as non-performing
if they are not serviced for more than 90 days. It is the stock of such
loans that has jumped by Sh11.1 billion to stand at Sh366.8 billion in
April. And this has not happened in a vacuum. The public health measures
have forced many businesses to either scale down their operations or
shut their doors altogether. In the process, thousands of workers have
either lost their incomes or been forced to take pay cuts.
The results are businesses and individuals with low capacity to
service loans. And so, thousands have defaulted on their loan
obligations. Others, sensing the danger ahead of falling into
delinquency, have approached their banks to have their loans
rescheduled.
CBK data shows the country’s seven largest
banks alone had in April restructured loans worth Sh176 billion or 6.2
percent of the industry’s total gross loan book of Sh2.8 trillion.
This
comes on the back of reports showing that Kenya Purchasing Managers’
Index, which tracks private sector activity, remains in contraction
territory, far below the 50 points from where expansion starts.
In
short, the challenges facing the banking sector must be addressed
urgently given the facilitating role that a robust financial system
plays in the economy. But our banking system can only be as healthy as
the stability of the entire economy.
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