Kenya has received a shot in the arm from the International
Monetary Fund with the approval of a
new Sh79 billion credit line to cushion the economy in this trying moment.
new Sh79 billion credit line to cushion the economy in this trying moment.
The novel
coronavirus pandemic has crushed economies across the world and the
critical issue now is survival. Any cash injection into the economy will
be useful.
A few weeks ago, Treasury Cabinet Secretary
Ukur Yatani announced that the government was going to record a Sh172
billion deficit in its budget, arising from tax waivers and other relief
rolled out to cushion vulnerable groups from the ravages of the
coronavirus.
With productivity falling across the
economic sectors due to the restrictions imposed to contain the
pandemic, the country is headed for a difficult period.
Aviation,
hospitality and long-distance transport sectors are grounded, with most
employees out of work. The other sectors are equally affected.
Many organisations are retrenching workers or slashing salaries as they struggle to stay afloat.
More people are being pushed out of productive engagement and consigned to unemployment.
DEBT PILE
The
net result is that the pool of vulnerable citizens requiring government
intervention is expanding at a time when revenues have fallen
drastically.
The resulting scenario is mass helplessness, which threatens social stability and security.
This
is why the IMF cash is pivotal for Kenya. However, there are pertinent
issues to consider here. Essentially, this is a loan that Kenya must pay
back.
Although it has come interest-free because of
the prevailing grave conditions, the principal sum has to be repaid
within the contractual period.
It adds to the country’s debt pile, which is reaching precipitous levels, given the government’s appetite for borrowing.
The
debt burden is more than Sh6 trillion, twice the annual national
budget. The challenge with this is that any revenues collected first go
to retire loans and that crowds out cash for recurrent and capital
expenditure.
Another pertinent issue is the use of the
loan. The propensity to steal and misuse public cash is confounding.
Billions are lost through corruption and sheer wastage.
Currently,
there is public outrage over the spending of some Sh1.3 billion
obtained from the World Bank for the Covid-19 campaign.
Prudence
and frugality are paramount at this point. Public cash must be put into
proper use, and the loan from the IMF must be spent on what it was
intended for.
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