The growing dominance of mobile banking may slow down amid low
employment rates and high
costs of living which have pushed more Kenyans to rely on digital lending apps to make ends meet, a new report shows.
costs of living which have pushed more Kenyans to rely on digital lending apps to make ends meet, a new report shows.
The
report by Egyptian investment bank, EFG Hermes, said the surge in
digital lending apps has been witnessed over the years as more Kenyans
sought to supplement their incomes following a spiral in the cost of
living.
This is likely to threaten the mobile banking revolution.
While
more mobile banking and digital loan apps were launched in 2016 and
have helped increase household access to credit by almost three times to
81.7 percent in 2019 from the recent low (32.4 percent) in 2013, the
report states that the explosion in credit accessibility has not been
matched with job creation.
Subsequently, the cost of
living and Kenyans’ inability to live by what they earn has seen the
sprouting of digital lending apps, which continue to take advantage of
the cost of living pressures.
According to the bank,
the need for credit among Kenyans has increased relative to salaries,
ranging from Sh9,130 ($90) to Sh90,899 ($896) per month, funding the
appetite for credit and resulting in easy availability of quick loans.
The
digital loan apps are estimated to be more than 100, according to
Financial Sector Deepening report released in November 2019 by FSD Kenya
and Central Bank of Kenya.
Top mobile banking platform M-Pesa continues to dominate digital
payments, holding a share at the digital credit space with a number of
banks and non-bank lenders.
Since December 2007 with
launch of M-Pesa, mobile money subscribers in Kenya have increased from
1.3 million to 58.4 million in December 2019, meaning that an average
Kenyan holds two mobile money accounts.
The
value of transactions increased from Sh14.8 billion to Sh4.35 trillion
over the period, representing about 44 percent of Kenya’s 2019 GDP
estimated at Sh9.7 trillion.
The total balance in mobile money accounts at September 2019 was Sh604 billion, 17 percent of banking system deposits.
“While
these numbers are dazzling, this note takes a look at the issues that
will affect the sector going forward such as low formal employment,
rising cost of living and the cost burden digital lenders are putting on
households, mainly due to financial illiteracy,’’ EFG Hermes stated.
“Now is the time for the government to step in to improve financial literacy and regulate the circling vultures.”
Recently, increasing concerns have been raised on the cost of
using some of the mobile banking and digital lending apps that EFG
Hermes said would continue to impoverish the users as their disposable
income decline and eventually slow down growth of these innovations.
According
to the report, the bulk of the borrowings from these digital platforms
are below Sh5,072 ($50), with many as low as Sh152 ($1.50).
The
total cost of credit (TCC) for digital loans has been registered as
very high, with the lowest TCC for a digital loan from an app being 352
percent on an annual basis.
Notably, the TCC of borrowing from the mobile bank lending apps range from 61-315 percent per year, the report said.
Digital
loan apps such as Fuliza M-Pesa charge (three percent per day),
PesaZone (32 percent per week), Kopa Cash by Airtel (17 percent in two
weeks), Dolax (45 percent in three weeks), Craft (34 percent in one
month), Branch and Tala (15 percent in a month), Upazi loans at 45
percent per month and Usawa and Utunzi charging a similar rate at 40
percent per month.
The pick-up in credit uptake also
saw launch of mobile banking loans like M-Shwari by the Commercial Bank
of Africa, KCB M-Pesa by KCB Bank and Eazzy Loan by Equity Bank charging
nominal rates of eight percent, four percent and six percent per month
respectively.
“Given that they are borrowing only Sh500 ($5) or less for one
month, we question why they have to pay 15 percent per month at Branch
or Tala for example,” the report stated.
And while
these interest rates continue to burden households, the bank cites low
formal employment as the basis for the troubles in the sector— spelling
doom for a revolution that has been on the march, enabling payments,
shopping, saving and access of other banking services through mobile
phones.
Only 2.8 million, approximately 10 percent of the country’s adult population were formally employed in 2019.
The
country has also created only 820,000 jobs over the past decade, while
its population increased by 12 million over the same period, meaning
every new job has had to take care of 14 people.
The
survey by the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics (KNBS) show that less
than 75 percent of formal workers make an average wage of Sh64,217
($633).
“With a combination of poor new job creation,
low salaries and high living costs, we question how far this digital
revolution can grow system credit without causing a significant increase
in retail Non Performing Loans.”
The bank has faulted digital lenders for not doing enough to educate their customers on the underlying products.
This
follows similar reporting by the 2019 FinAccess Household Survey that
pointed out that 100 percent of respondents said they took a mobile
banking loan because it was “fast and easy to access”.
About 26 percent of the respondents that defaulted on their mobile bank loans did not understand the terms.
Last
month, the competition watchdog announced through a gazette notice t
would open investigations into the exorbitant monthly interest rates
charged by digital mobile lenders who also push third parties to recover
amounts owed from defaulters.
The Competition
Authority of Kenya (CAK) said it will be investigating both regulated
and unregulated digital lenders whose steep rates have plunged many
borrowers into a debt trap.
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