Asha Khalif Ali, 35, an internally displaced Ethiopian sits on bags of
rotten wheat which was ruined by heavy rain and desert locusts, Tuli
Guled, Somali Region, Ethiopia on January 13, 2020. PHOTO | REUTERS
First, drought in Ethiopia’s Oromiya region destroyed Asha
Khalif Ali’s crops and animals. Then her husband and brother were killed
in ethnic violence.
She fled with her seven children,
the youngest on her back, and watched their small faces grow gaunt with
hunger as they sought safety.
Scientists and
humanitarians say Asha’s story—of a once prosperous family endlessly
buffeted by the intertwined plagues of climate change and violence—will
become more familiar around the world as repeated disasters push
families into competition for ever-scarcer resources.
The
United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees said on January 21 the
world needs to prepare for “millions” more climate change refugees and
cited a UN ruling this month that such people deserved international
protection.
Behind each number lies a story of suffering.
For
Asha, the drought that ended two years ago exacerbated simmering
tensions over resources between ethnic groups. After gunmen from a rival
ethnic group killed her husband, she fled into the mountains with her
children.
They marched barefoot for five days. The children’s feet bled;
her milk dried up. When they finally reached a safe village, Asha
collapsed. She and four of her children were hospitalized.
They
found refuge in the village of Tuli Guled in the eastern Somali region,
where the International Committee of the Red Cross gave them seeds and
tools. Then heavy rains and desert locusts destroyed her crop and her
hope.
“Life has changed a lot since the seasons
changed. Food is more expensive. We used to have three meals a day. Now I
can only afford one,” Asha said, sitting on three bags of rotten wheat.
Her two youngest children squirmed in her lap as she struggled to hold
back tears.
“I fear my children may starve.”
Inter-ethnic violence
The
World Meteorological Organization says more extreme weather events
linked to temperature rises of 3-5 degrees Celsius can be expected if
carbon dioxide emissions, which hit a new record in 2018, keep rising at
the current rate.
Ethiopia had the highest number of
new internally displaced people in the world in 2018—2.9 millio—
according to the Geneva-based Internal Displacement Monitoring Center.
Some fled drought or floods, others fled clashes.
It’s
hard to measure the impact of climate change on violence, and it is not
the cause of all inter-ethnic conflicts in Ethiopia, which have flared
since Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed took power in April 2018.
His
political and economic reforms, though widely praised, have also
unleashed long-repressed tensions among Ethiopia’s myriad ethnic groups
as they lay claim to disputed territory.
However,
recent data and testimonies from displaced people such as Asha
demonstrate the complex interaction between climate change and violence.
“Many
make the link today between their experience of violent conflicts and
climate change,” said Peter Maurer, president of the International
Committee of the Red Cross, as he toured Ethiopian villages devastated
by violence, drought, heavy rains and desert locusts.
“The struggle over less productive land is at the origin of much of what they suffer.”
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