The CBK building in Nairobi. FILE PHOTO | NMG
There is no doubt that the
Treasury—by implication the Executive—has made a huge mess of fiscal
management. Where it should have been more concerned with burgeoning
debt and widening deficit,
it has engaged in massive expenditure without matching resources.
it has engaged in massive expenditure without matching resources.
That has seen the total debt hit
62 percent of GDP within a short time, and debt payment spike over to
half the ordinary revenue.
This has come even as the
executive does little to spur important sectors of the economy than can
help both exports and imports. In the middle of all this economic
misalignment, the monetary side of the equation has been fighting to
balance the economy very much in vain.
It has often
correctly cited the supply side of the economy as the problem. In short,
it is the failure of the macroeconomic side of the coin that has landed
us in a ditch.
To be sure, the situation has a long
history. In the early 1990s, the executive embarked in a heinous scheme
later known as Goldenberg that cost the taxpayers billions.
The consequences of the fiscal indiscipline are still being felt
in one way or the other, with courts being one of the most active
theaters.
Unfortunately, the Central Bank of Kenya
(CBK) was a willing accomplice, turning on the printers to pay for the
fraudulent export compensation and issuing bizarrely priced short-tenor
securities that fed the opportunistic banking industry.
It
is this situation that led to legislation restricting State borrowing
from CBK to just five percent of the last audited expenditure. That has
not completely ushered in complete independence of the central bank and
it has often played along or cowered off under pressure from the
government. Indeed, the current Governor Patrick Njoroge has hinted
things are only beginning to look up with change of regime.
Nevertheless,
he is still complaining that the Treasury is pushing CBK to surrender
surpluses as well as securities held. He rightly argues that such
pressure amounts to issuance of fiat money.
While the
full extent of the dispute is not completely clear, it is heartwarming
to see CBK asserting itself, which will hopefully save the country from
crowding out the real economy from banking halls and tame State appetite
for debt. We are on the side of an independent CBK.
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