analysis By Nick Westcott
I visited Tanzania
recently for the first time in five years, and the first time since John
Magufuli was elected President. I have been visiting the country
regularly since 1976 - spending a year as a student in 1979 and three
years as a diplomat in 1993-6. I have followed its fortunes through the
decades with close interest, meeting all its Presidents (except the
incumbent) at one time or another.
While I was there on this occasion, the journalist Erick Kabendera was picked up by police and kept incommunicado for several days until he was suddenly re-appeared in court and improbably charged with economic crimes and tax evasion.
This is not a lone incident: since 2015 it has become more frequent for independent journalists to face harassment and even the threat of death. Only a few weeks later another journalist, Joseph Gandye,
was arrested apparently for a story criticising police brutality. He
was subsequently released. The government has also obstructed news or
even the publication of standard national statistics that it dislikes.
It is worth asking
where this comes from. Since independence in 1961, Tanzania has been a
beacon of the liberation struggle in Africa and of peaceful political
stability. The country's moral and political compass was set very firmly
by its first president of 24 years, Mwalimu Julius Nyerere. His
successors have appealed to and pledged to uphold his legacy.
So what is that
legacy? Nyerere was unusual among African leaders in leaving a
substantial body of writings that set out his political thinking and
which enable us to see its evolution. It is important to register that
his thinking changed over time, adapted in the light of experience.
But some elements
remained a bedrock: a powerful moral tone, an intolerance of corruption,
a central role for the state, but with a real accountability to the
people. Above all was the value of unity - at the national level, in the
union with Zanzibar, and across Africa as a whole.
Kabendera has long been a critic of Tanzania's government, helping expose an energy scandal
in 2015 in which $18 million was misappropriated. The scandal cost the
then Minister of Energy his job. There was suspicion that a more recent
article in The Economist probably caused the government's ire. It was
entitled "John Magufuli is bulldozing Tanzania's freedom".
Mwalimu would
probably be angry as well but also sad to see his successors prefer a
closed society to an open one and to look to the past rather than to the
future. After all, Nyerere often argued that Tanzanians should not be
afraid to challenge authority. He also spoke out strongly for freedom of speech.
Nyerere's legacy
Nyerere started as an unabashed African Socialist. Capitalism and colonialism had gone hand-in-hand, and had destroyed many of the traditional communal values of African society. These needed to be restored and built upon.
He justified the
one party state as necessary for building national unity and avoiding
fissiparous political divisions. He also advocated "ujamaa",
or villagisation, as a path to economic and social modernisation. But
over time he came to see the drawbacks of both policies and began to
adapt his own approach.
Nyerere was
sometimes intolerant of criticism. But he tended to respond with
argument rather than force. Although the ruling Chama Cha Mapinduzi had
robust internal competition and accountability, any single party that
remains in power continually tends to become politically complacent and
financially corrupt.
The target tends to
become climbing to the top of the party tree and reaping the benefits
along the way, not serving the people. And villagisation and state
production proved socially disruptive and financially disastrous.
Economically, Nyerere's prescription just did not work.
In response,
Nyerere did two things: he put in place succession arrangements that
allowed him to step back from running the government, though retaining
oversight as chairman of the party, and he allowed his successors to liberalise both politics and the economy.
In the 1990s,
multi-party politics was re-introduced, a number of loss-making
parastatals that were draining the government's resources were
privatised, and the country began to encourage outside investors.
Nyerere's personal interventions became increasingly rare, limited
largely to upholding the sanctity and importance of the political union
with Zanzibar, and working for peace in neighbouring Burundi.
His genuine legacy,
therefore, is to value unity but recognise diversity, not to overstay
your welcome in power, and to be guided by principles but adapt your
policies in the light of experience.
Negation of legacy?
Are the events of
recent years the fulfilment or the negation of that legacy? Like his
predecessors, President Magufuli puts great emphasis on respecting
Nyerere's legacy.
Selected at least in part for his well-known personal probity, he entered office breathing fire and fury against corruption in the state machine, and his dramatic interventions
appeared to shake state utilities, including water and power, out of
their torpor and corrupt practices to deliver to the public what they
were supposed to. Basic infrastructure, including roads and energy, has
been developed and delivered. All this was overdue.
But in other respects, the administration seems stuck in the early Nyerere-ite mode of suspicion - even hostility - to international capitalism and all its works,
and to open markets even within its region, preaching a narrow view of
self-reliance similar to that which led the country into near bankruptcy
in the early 1980s.
And in political
terms, the president seems to adopt an intolerance of criticism and
opposition that Nyerere in his later years had abandoned. The ruling
Chama Cha Mapinduzi itself seems increasingly frightened of fair
competition, fearful that given a free choice and transparent information the people just might choose someone else.
Sadly, such transparency and freedom is the only thing that keeps democracies honest. To constrain the opposition and harass the free press will in the end destroy democracy and even the Chama Cha Mapinduzi itself.
We have seen
elsewhere that some political leaders decide they should be the sole
arbiter of political decisions, and stay on in charge long after their
sell-by date, presiding over ever-more corrupt and incompetent
governments and leading their countries to wrack and ruin. But in almost
all cases, it does not end well. The same can apply to parties as to
leaders.
Tanzania has
benefited greatly from a regular political succession in its leadership.
But it would be a betrayal, not a fulfilment, of Nyerere's legacy to
fail to allow the Tanzanian people a free and informed choice about the
party and the policies they want.
The views expressed in this article are solely my own.
Nick Westcott, Research Associate, Centre for International Studies and Diplomacy (CISD), SOAS, University of London
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