With the international conference on the blue economy scheduled
to be held in Nairobi next week, I keep thinking about whether or not
Kenya is truly ready and prepared for the decisive shift to exploit the
full potential of our ocean economy.
Indeed, Kenya’s
coastal and inland waters have clean beaches, fresh water, and abundant
marine life with potential for vibrant economic activity that is ready
to be exploited.
But even with the new fascination and
new-found faith within the administration of the blue economy, is there a
realistic chance that we will see game-changing interventions in this
area in the medium term?
Beyond establishing an
inter-ministerial committee on the blue economy, what really is the
administration capable of achieving within the existing levels of state
expenditure?
The focus, prominence and recognition by
the government that exploitation of the blue economy is going to be one
of the biggest game-changers of the future cannot be faulted.
We
must remain optimistic all the time. Yet I still don’t see spectacular
progress in the exploitation of the sea economy in the medium,
especially in the context of the existing level of state expenditure.
I
don’t see large-scale commercial fishing happening soon. The transition
from dependence on artisanal fishing to massive capital intensive
investment on maritime fishing will take long to take hold. Yes,
President Uhuru Kenyatta launched a new coast guard complete with a new
vessel.
But full exploitation of the blue economy can
only start happening when we have the capacity and capability to enforce
full sovereignty over our exclusive economic zone. We have to buy many
more vessels of the type the Americans have donated to us.
I don’t see our ocean economy emerging as a key economic game
changer in this economy until I see massive resources flowing into ocean
tourism.
I am talking about investment at the level of Egypt’s Sham El Sheikh.
Indeed,
the Egyptians have invested in an entire resort city whose principal
attraction is the clear blue waters of the Red Sea where tourists visit
to see marine treasures in their finest.
Kilindini port in Mombasa is a critical ocean economy facility and our most strategic national asset on the Indian Ocean.
But
before we can experience a revamped and game-changing blue economy, the
port will have to move to the level of the Port of Singapore.
A blue economy allows you- like Singapore- to be a maritime industrial leader even where you don’t have the natural resources.
Today,
Singapore is a global centre for oil refining, processing and trading
despite not having oil of its own. Kenya, on the eastern sea board of
Africa, can be a major centre for trading oil and gas produced in the
region- in Tanzania, Mozambique, South Sudan and Somalia.
Accuse
me of being a dreamer if you like, but I see the Shimoni port being
developed into a maritime industrial port-purely for fish processing and
exports in the ilk of Richard Bay Port of South Africa – one of the
largest coal exporting harbours in the world.
To take off sustainably, the blue economy will need us to go into partnerships with global players.
I
don’t believe that foreign investment in the blue economy can flow in a
big way just because the government has given them generous fiscal
incentives.
Long-term public investment must precede
public sector participation before we can see any major flows of foreign
investment in the blue economy.
How I wish that the
proposed Kenya Development Bank that was one of the centrepieces of the
recommendations of the Presidential Task Force on Parastatal Reform on
2014 or even the Government Investment Corporation that was also
proposed by that task force was in place.
Currently, we
don’t have a framework for investing in a national shipping line to
allow as to effectively participate in maritime transport. We will need a
powerful State agency to midwife the blue economy. Finally, a working
blue economy in Kenya will require us to do much more in preventing
pollution of the Ocean.
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