02 November 2018 - 13:58
Stephen Nellis
Picture: REUTERS/DADO RUVIC
San Francisco — Apple has warned that sales for the
crucial holiday quarter are likely to miss Wall Street expectations,
which CEO Tim Cook has blamed on weakness in emerging markets and
foreign-exchange costs.
The disappointing forecast by the world's most valuable technology company sent shares down as much as 7%, taking roughly $70bn off Apple's market value and forcing that value below $1-trillion. The forecast could also deepen concerns for technology companies that saw a sell-off after misses by Amazon.com and Google parent Alphabet.
Apple said it expects between $89bn and $93bn in revenue for its fiscal first quarter ending in December, with a midpoint of $91bn coming in below Wall Street expectations of $93bn, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.
Cook said in an interview that Apple was "seeing some macroeconomic weakness in some of the emerging markets". He later told investors on a conference call that weak markets included Brazil, India, Russia and Turkey. Sales were flat in the fourth quarter in India, Cook said.
"Obviously, we would like to see that be a huge growth," Cook said on the call.
The disappointing forecast by the world's most valuable technology company sent shares down as much as 7%, taking roughly $70bn off Apple's market value and forcing that value below $1-trillion. The forecast could also deepen concerns for technology companies that saw a sell-off after misses by Amazon.com and Google parent Alphabet.
Apple said it expects between $89bn and $93bn in revenue for its fiscal first quarter ending in December, with a midpoint of $91bn coming in below Wall Street expectations of $93bn, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.
Cook said in an interview that Apple was "seeing some macroeconomic weakness in some of the emerging markets". He later told investors on a conference call that weak markets included Brazil, India, Russia and Turkey. Sales were flat in the fourth quarter in India, Cook said.
"Obviously, we would like to see that be a huge growth," Cook said on the call.
Executives said they also would quit giving the
number of iPhones, iPads and Mac computers, leading to a further drop in
the share price, since iPhone unit sales was long the key indicator of
quarterly success.
Withholding that number will make it impossible to calculate the average selling price of phones, another key measure. Apple executives said unit sales are becoming less relevant as customers buy bundled products that include subscription services such as Apple Music.
Apple said it would start giving cost-of-sales data for its services business, an important metric for subscription businesses. But investors reacted negatively.
"Companies typically stop reporting metrics when the metrics are about to turn. This is not a good look for Apple," said analyst Walter Piecyk from BTIG Research.
For the quarter ended in September, Apple brought in $62.9bn in revenue and $2.91 per share in profits, beating expectations of $61.5bn and $2.79, respectively.
Apple sold 46.9-million iPhones in the fiscal fourth quarter, missing analyst expectations of 47.5-million iPhones, according to FactSet. But the average selling price of iPhones was $793, well above analyst estimates of $750.78, according to FactSet.
"Our worry is there must be a limit to Apple’s pricing power," said George Salmon, an analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown. "The group is now charging close to $800 per phone, and while that’s helping revenues climb despite flat sales volumes, one has to wonder how the strategy to shimmy up the price ladder fares in a downturn. If consumers start feeling the pinch, those price tags could put the punters off.”
In an interview with Reuters, Cook said his caution on holiday sales was in part due to Apple's earlier-than-normal launch of its top-end iPhone models, the XS and XS Max.
Cook also said foreign exchange rates would have a $2bn negative impact on Apple's sales forecast.
Apple was unsure whether it can make enough new iPhones, Apple Watches, iPads and Mac models it released in recent weeks, Cook told Reuters. Apple is widely expanding the use of its facial recognition unlocking system in iPhones and iPads, which uses special lasers that are produced by only a handful of suppliers.
Elazar Advisors analyst Chaim Siegel said that China trade issues could be making it difficult for Apple to get the supplies it needs. "As for emerging markets slowing, that's also contagion from China. Both trade war issues coming to reality," he said.
But Cook stressed that Apple was happy with its performance in China, where revenue grew 16% to $11.4bn, the fifth quarter in a row the company has had double-digit growth in the region.
Apple's cautious forecast could accelerate investor fears that have in turn erased stock market gains for much of the year. At market close on Thursday, Apple shares had been up more than 25% for the year — supported by purchases by Warren Buffett and a $100bn share buy-back programme — while the Nasdaq Composite Index is nearly flat for 2018.
Apple said revenue from services, which includes iCloud, the App Store and Apple Music, reached $10bn, in line with analyst estimates. Apple investors have been increasingly focused on growth in the company's services business as consumer markets become saturated with smartphones.
Apple forecast a tax rate of 16.5% for the December quarter, above analyst expectations of 15.9%, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.
For its full fiscal 2018 ended in September, Apple reported revenue of $265.6bn and profits of $11.91 per share, beating analyst estimates of $264bn and $11.79 per share.
Reuters
Withholding that number will make it impossible to calculate the average selling price of phones, another key measure. Apple executives said unit sales are becoming less relevant as customers buy bundled products that include subscription services such as Apple Music.
Apple said it would start giving cost-of-sales data for its services business, an important metric for subscription businesses. But investors reacted negatively.
"Companies typically stop reporting metrics when the metrics are about to turn. This is not a good look for Apple," said analyst Walter Piecyk from BTIG Research.
For the quarter ended in September, Apple brought in $62.9bn in revenue and $2.91 per share in profits, beating expectations of $61.5bn and $2.79, respectively.
Apple sold 46.9-million iPhones in the fiscal fourth quarter, missing analyst expectations of 47.5-million iPhones, according to FactSet. But the average selling price of iPhones was $793, well above analyst estimates of $750.78, according to FactSet.
"Our worry is there must be a limit to Apple’s pricing power," said George Salmon, an analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown. "The group is now charging close to $800 per phone, and while that’s helping revenues climb despite flat sales volumes, one has to wonder how the strategy to shimmy up the price ladder fares in a downturn. If consumers start feeling the pinch, those price tags could put the punters off.”
In an interview with Reuters, Cook said his caution on holiday sales was in part due to Apple's earlier-than-normal launch of its top-end iPhone models, the XS and XS Max.
Cook also said foreign exchange rates would have a $2bn negative impact on Apple's sales forecast.
Apple was unsure whether it can make enough new iPhones, Apple Watches, iPads and Mac models it released in recent weeks, Cook told Reuters. Apple is widely expanding the use of its facial recognition unlocking system in iPhones and iPads, which uses special lasers that are produced by only a handful of suppliers.
Elazar Advisors analyst Chaim Siegel said that China trade issues could be making it difficult for Apple to get the supplies it needs. "As for emerging markets slowing, that's also contagion from China. Both trade war issues coming to reality," he said.
But Cook stressed that Apple was happy with its performance in China, where revenue grew 16% to $11.4bn, the fifth quarter in a row the company has had double-digit growth in the region.
Apple's cautious forecast could accelerate investor fears that have in turn erased stock market gains for much of the year. At market close on Thursday, Apple shares had been up more than 25% for the year — supported by purchases by Warren Buffett and a $100bn share buy-back programme — while the Nasdaq Composite Index is nearly flat for 2018.
Apple said revenue from services, which includes iCloud, the App Store and Apple Music, reached $10bn, in line with analyst estimates. Apple investors have been increasingly focused on growth in the company's services business as consumer markets become saturated with smartphones.
Apple forecast a tax rate of 16.5% for the December quarter, above analyst expectations of 15.9%, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.
For its full fiscal 2018 ended in September, Apple reported revenue of $265.6bn and profits of $11.91 per share, beating analyst estimates of $264bn and $11.79 per share.
Reuters
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