Many
economic development success stories owe a great deal to the role of
the manufacturing sector. However, the story has been less than
impressive in Kenya over the last few decades.
Growth
trends have shown that the country’s manufacturing sector has remained
stunted and it’s immense potential underutilised. This has undermined
its intended impact on the economy.
According to the
Kenya Association of Manufacturers (KAM), the performance of the
manufacturing sector has been weak and has failed to keep up with
developments in the region and globally. Its share of the GDP was the
same in 2015 as it was in 1965, declining since 2010 to a low of 9.2 per
cent by 2016.
Kenya’s GDP stands at more than $70 billion. The manufacturing
sector therefore contributes an average of up to $7 billion of the total
GDP, an amount that cannot be overlooked.
In its
efforts to revitalise the manufacturing agenda, the KAM in 2017 launched
a ten-point policy agenda for industrialisation. The policy offers
guidance to the government on achieving economic goals stated in its
manifesto by directing its efforts on the manufacturing sector.
A
segment of manufacturing in Kenya that has not received deserved
attention is the locally assembled motor vehicle sector. The sector
plays a significant role in building the country’s economy, essentially
through the transportation of goods and people, and the formulation of
intricate value chains that create employment and business opportunities
for thousands of Kenyans.
However, compared to other
countries, vehicle assembly in Kenya still has a long way to go, to
compete at global levels. Drawing comparisons with other nations that
have heavily invested in local vehicle assembly, the growth
opportunities are immense and the return on investments is
unquestionable.
It is encouraging to see that the
Kenyan government has prioritised the growth of manufacturing in the
country through the Big Four Agenda. Local motor vehicle assembly can
strengthen Kenya’s manufacturing potential and help achieve tremendous
growth through favourable industry regulations and policies.
Examples
from other markets where the motor industry has achieved great strides
continue to demonstrate that government support is a critical component
of their success.
New investment laws set by
governments have favourably influenced the rise of the automotive
industry in some countries. For instance, foreign car companies setting
up shop in Morocco today benefit from a variety of incentives, including
a five-year corporate tax holiday, VAT exemptions, and land purchase
subsidies.
In measures to attract more investors into
the motor vehicle sector, the Kenya government in early 2017 announced a
reduced corporate tax rate of 15 per cent down from 30 per cent for the
first five years of operation, for new vehicle assemblers.
However,
it was not made clear how this measure would apply to existing
assemblers, who have already made significant investments in the
business.
Currently, as per the Kenya National Bureau
of Standards (KNBS), used cars make up about 80 per cent of vehicles
imported in Kenya on an annual basis. With such high numbers of
second-hand cars, the market for locally assembled vehicles is
undermined, constraining its growth.
Ironically, we
currently boast of three automotive plants in Kenya capable of
assembling 30,000 units per year (on a single shift) but they’re
operating at just about 33 per cent of their capacity.
A
policy to discourage the importation of second-hand vehicles will
achieve beneficial impact on local assembly. Its gratifying to note that
Kenya’s recently formulated automotive policy framework proposes to
impose further age limits on second-hand vehicle imports, from eight to
five years.
To demonstrate the effectiveness of this
bold policy move, in 2013, Nigeria passed a new tax regulation for
second-hand cars to discourage vehicle importation and encourage local
production.
The Nigerian Government introduced steep
tariff rates of up to 70 per cent on imported Fully Built Units (FBU),
10 per cent on Semi-Knocked-Down Units (SKD) and 0 per cent on
Completely-Knocked-Down Units (CKD).
After this bold
move, PwC released a survey titled Africa’s Next Automotive Hub that
predicted by 2020, Nigeria’s impressive GDP will be the 16th largest
economy in Africa and the ninth largest economy by 2050 characterised by
a large consumer base with ever increasing purchasing power driving the
demand for locally assembled automobiles.
Local
vehicle assembly capacity to provide opportunities for skilled and
unskilled labour in the country is immense. At full capacity, a local
vehicle assembly chain requires a larger number of employees, hired
directly, to fully assemble the vehicles compared to the number of
manpower required to import second-hand vehicles.
The
indirect employment opportunities are also extended through the value
chain both downstream and upstream e.g. local vehicle components
suppliers and vehicle dealers.
Indirect employment
includes personnel working in enabling industries, such as vehicle
finance and insurance, vehicle repair, vehicle service stations, vehicle
maintenance, vehicle and component dealers, drivers, cleaners, which
totals to about 60 to 70 per cent.
In Thailand,
according to a survey of members of the Auto Parts Club and TAPMA, the
industry employs more than 500,000 people. In Egypt it creates 86,000
direct and indirect jobs.
Rita Kavashe, Chairperson, Kenya Vehicle Manufacturers Association.
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