Kenya's 18-month-old cap on commercial interest rates could be
repealed in the next two months as it emerged that it may have cut last
year’s estimated economic growth rate by 0.4 percentage points,
and starved small and medium enterprises of cash.
and starved small and medium enterprises of cash.
Last
week, Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) Governor Patrick Njoroge said that the
law could be repealed as early as June, in a bid to rejuvenate the
country’s credit sector which has recorded a slowdown. The rate cap law
was passed in August 2016 in response to the high cost of credit.
“We
will be talking to all the stakeholders, including parliament and the
bankers. The pointers will be on how this law will be amended or
repealed. We are doing this in our interest as a country,” said Dr
Njoroge.
The EastAfrican understands that
several consultative meetings between bankers, legislators and
government officials have suggested tweaking the law on both the deposit
and interest rate as they seek to have a win-win scenario for both the
banking sector and customers.
The main point of
discussion has so far been on the deposit rate, where legislators in the
Parliamentary Budget Office are said to have agreed to have it as the
first point of review.
Last week’s Monetary Policy
Committee (MPC) decision to lower the CBR by 50 basis points was also
viewed as a market test, as this cut the deposit rate too.
“The removal of the floor on deposit rates would allow banks to
negotiate with their customers. This will also give the banking
regulator some wiggle room. We have come to a situation where we all
agree we will have some sort of regulation but one that allows
flexibility,” said head of the parliamentary budget committee Kimani
Ichung’wah.
It is understood that one of the
suggestions that the legislators are toying with is to reduce the base
rate on deposits from the current 70 per cent to below 50 per cent so as
to give banks room to price their risk.
On the other
hand, Treasury, which is caught in catch 22 situation, given the rise in
the volumes of banks participation in its papers vis-a-vis the private
sector credit crunch, is keen to have this rate not go beyond 30 per
cent.
“The discussions are no longer on whether we
should reduce the ceiling on the current deposit rate but by what
percentage. Treasury is keen on consumer protection with an outlined
deposit rate ceiling which cannot be breached by banks. There is also
the discussion on the ceiling on the interest rates to give banks
wriggle room too, on the pricing of their risk premiums but this isn’t
as loud as the deposit basing cap removal,” The EastAfrican was told.
Total repeal
Kenyan
banks have however said that they will be seeking a total repeal of the
interest cap law that has impacted on their profitability and reduced
shareholder earnings.
Through their umbrella body, the
Kenya Bankers Association (KBA), the bankers said the controversial
legislation has prompted banks to avoid lending to riskier segments such
as individuals and SMEs and stifled growth of the economy.
“Obviously
the most appropriate possibility is to completely repeal the interest
rates law because it has not been effective. Any partial amendments to
the law will only create more problems and complications going forward,
which will then send us back to the negotiating table,” said KBA chief
executive Habil Olaka.
Early this month, Treasury
Principal Secretary Kamau Thugge said they were thinking of a law that
would address the issues of consumer protection and previous concerns on
loan costs, calculations and issues in the financial system.
“This will be addressed in a fundamental way to bring the rates down in a sustainable way,” said Dr Thugge.
“This will be addressed in a fundamental way to bring the rates down in a sustainable way,” said Dr Thugge.
Review of the law
In
its report in February, the Parliamentary Budget Office gave the
clearest indication that they will be supporting a review of the law
noting that it has affected the flexibility of the CBR, the key monetary
policy tool. This was a climb down from its October last year rejection
of any repeal of the law.
“We are going to introduce
reforms that will bring back market-driven interest rates while at the
same time protecting consumers from adverse rates. These reforms will
help us extend credit to the private sector,” said the National Treasury
Cabinet Secretary Henry Rotich.
Last week, CBK
released a new report on whose basis it is seeking public comments on
the legal caps ahead of the planned review of the rates capping law.
The
report paints an adverse picture of the impact of the 18-month rates
cap including a drop in loan accounts resulting in rising average loan
size by 36.7 per cent.
“The rising value of loan size
vis-à-vis reduced number of loan accounts reflects lower access to small
borrowers and larger loans to more established firms,” the report
notes.
CBK also says that during the rates cap regime,
the commercial banks investment in government securities has increased
while the share of credit to the private sector has continued to
decline.
Other effects of the rates cap has been the significant decline in capital for smaller banks.
“Tier
III (small size) banks recorded the largest capital erosion after
interest capping. This may be attributed to reduced earnings that
impacted on capacity to build-up capital. Tier I banks (large size) have
maintained high capital build-up levels. Tier II (medium size) banks
appear to have been affected by instability in late 2015 and ‘new
normal’ requirements,” the banking regulator says.
The
rates cap has also seen the profitability of the banking sector decline.
The return on equity touched the lowest level of 19.8 per cent in
February last year with return on assets reaching the lowest level of
2.3 per cent in January last year.
The decline in
earnings over time may pose risks to financial stability through
increased balance sheet risks reduced capacity to build capital buffers
to absorb shocks.
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