The private sector in East Africa is facing diminishing credit
as commercial banks continue to shun small businesses and households.
As
at September last year, Kenyan, Ugandan and Tanzanian commercial banks
reported a rise in non-performing loans (NPLs), with Tanzania
registering the highest amount at 12.5 per cent — a three-year high from
6.8 per cent at the end of 2014 — followed by Uganda at 7.2 per cent.
Now
the Bank of Tanzania (BoT) has proposed a raft of measures it hopes
will reverse the current negative growth in the private sector credit
and contain the rise in bad loans.
“Banks and
financial institutions are required to develop and maintain specific
strategies that will see improved credit granting process and reverse
the NPL trend,” said BoT deputy governor responsible for financial
stability and financial deepening Dr Benard Kibesse in a circular sent
out on February 19, and which The EastAfrican has seen.
Measures
The proposed measures include the new requirement for quarterly reporting for banks and financial institutions.
The EastAfrican understands that BoT has waived certain
provisions of the Banking and Financial Institutions (Management of
Risk Assets) Regulations 2014 (the Banking MRA Regulations) for a
three-year tenure up to the end of 2020 in order to provide relief.
The
regulator has also permitted banks to restructure NPLs up to four
times, from the previous limit of two. However, the banking institutions
will have to demonstrate that the affected borrowers have a good track
record of repayment but lack working capital to support their business.
BoT
has also waived section 7 (2) of the Banking MRA Regulations, which
will allow banks to upgrade term loans to a better classification
category once the borrower has paid two consecutive loan instalments —
an improvement from the previous four consecutive instalments.
BoT
has also withdrawn its 2015 directive which allowed banks to write off
credit accommodation that remained in the loss category for more than 12
consecutive quarters. Now banks can write off NPLs that have remained
in the loss category for more than four consecutive quarters.
Gradual recovery
Tanzania
credit to private sector by banks continued to recover gradually owing
to measures implemented to address credit risk and accommodative
monetary policy.
“In the year ending January 2018,
bank credit to the private sector grew by 2.0 per cent, slightly higher
than 1.7 per cent, the preceding month buoyed by growth in lending to
manufacturing of 14.6 per cent followed by personal loans at 12 per
cent,” the Central Bank February economic update notes.
In
Kenya, non-performing loans rose $470 million to $2.59 billion in the
year to December 2017, exposing the negative effect that last year’s
electioneering had on the economy.
In the latest credit
officer survey report for the quarter ending December 2017, Kenya’s
Central Bank said that the period was marked by a slowdown in business
activities, which ultimately affected the ability of businesses to
service their loans.
The ratio of NPLs to gross loans rose to 10.56 per cent, from the 9.1 per cent at the end of 2016.
In
Uganda, though NPLs declined to 6.2 per cent in June 2017, a surge in
default rates experienced within major economic segments seems to have
reversed this, seeing a record high of 7.2 per cent as at the end of
September 30, the Bank of Uganda (BoU) statistics show.
The
rise in the NPLs to the quarter ending September last year reflect big
shocks experienced by borrowers and lenders since last year in spite of
bullish growth forecasts pegged to certain sectors.
Uganda
has also witnessed a private sector credit slowdown, which stood at 5.8
per cent in September, down from 6.1 per cent posted in March, BoU data
shows.
“There were significant default problems faced
by key sectors including agriculture, services and construction, which
saw trade and commerce loans largely,” said BoU’s executive director for
research, Dr Adam Mugume.
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