Banks need a thriving economy to ensure that there is credit uptake. FILE PHOTO | NMG
A man and his wife owned a special goose. Every day the goose
would lay a golden egg, which made the couple rich. “Just think,” said
the man’s wife, “If we could have all the golden eggs that are inside
the goose, we could be richer much faster.”
So, the
couple killed the goose and cut her open, only to find that she was just
like every other goose. She had no golden eggs inside of her at all,
and they had no more golden eggs.
The Sunday Nation
newspaper on March 4 published an article titled New credit law to help
small firms. The article featured a debatable quote from the Member of
Parliament for Kiambu constituency Jude Njomo who shot to the national
limelight with his successful Banking Act (Amendment) Bill 2015 that
capped interest rates.
Close to a year and a half
later, with credit in the economy at an all time low and a significant
drop in the profitability of the entire banking sector, Jude Njomo was
quoted as saying “The credit squeeze to SMEs is a deliberate effort by
commercial banks to sabotage the economy so that the government may
influence Parliament to remove the interest rate caps.”
Parliament was about as smug as a bug in a rug when they passed
the interest rate capping law. The collective view was that banks needed
to be taught a lesson and to be dictated to on how to do business.
However,
the reverse happened. Banks simply stopped lending as it was not worth
the risk and the funds that were meant to fuel the economy through
lending for working capital and capital expenditure simply moved to the
safest borrower of all mankind: the sovereign.
Mr Njomo
and his legislative colleagues need to be disabused of one notion: You
cannot juxtapose the word “banks” to the words “sabotage the economy”
and expect a logical outcome. If anything, that is a fairly fallacious
theory.
It
is about as oxymoronic as placing the words “Parliament” next to the
words “bans salary increases for lawmakers”. The two concepts are
mutually dependent. Banks need a thriving economy to ensure that there
is credit uptake and that those credit facilities are repaid, which,
obviously, leads to profitable business.
Parliament
need never set a ban for legislator salary increases because…well you
can fill in the blanks yourself on that one. Aesop’s fable above
summarises it well, one does not kill the goose that lays the golden
egg.
Credit is the lifeblood of any economy. Banks take
in deposits and use the same to lend out to various sectors based on
how much of their own capital they have in the business, what is termed
as risk-based capital allocation.
Lending to the
sovereign via treasury bills and bonds consumes minimal capital while
lending to Tom, Dick and Harry consumes maximum capital.
As
banks by nature of regulatory rigour require a lot of capital, their
shareholders will demand a significant return on that capital and
lending to the ordinary mwananchi is the surest way of sweating that
capital more efficiently.
In a speech to the Kenya
Bankers Association Banking Research Conference last September, the
Central Bank Governor Patrick Njoroge reminded the banks about why they
were in the position they were in.
“There has (sic)
been concerns about the Kenyan banking sector’s high average ROA of
above three per cent and ROE of close to 30 per cent, when compered to
similar economies….In any case the high ROAs and ROEs are not
sustainable in the long term as customers cannot afford the high cost of
banking services indefinitely.”
The Governor has been
consistently rapping the knuckles of the Kenyan banking industry and the
intervening period between the interest rate capping bill becoming law
and its impending demise requires banks to significantly change their
mindsets away from the traditional lending models to more innovative
ways to make income as well as assess borrower repayment capacity (the
fintech credit algorithm methodologies for non-secured lending are a
case in point).
The Governor in his speech pronounced
the regulator as a key supporter of lenders that are fairly priced,
lenders that provide differentiated risk-based pricing based on a
borrower’s history and lenders that disclose information in a
transparent manner.
Legislators need to be alive to
the regulatory premise as the basis on which they should hold the
banking industry to account, and not through reckless statements that
the banking industry is in any shape or form killing its own economic
golden goose.
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