Every so often, I get to opine about the
business dynamics of Kenya’s insurance sector, specifically general (or
short-term) insurance.
Today I get to put up a case on
a unique aspect of the general business. In 2016, motor vehicle (both
private and commercial) and medical insurance, combined, accounted for
68 per cent of total general insurance business—and I’m talking gross
premiums.
However, the two business classes bled money to death with insurers recording a combined underwriting loss of Sh3 billion.
The
loss position was primarily a net result of steep claims, with net
claims ratio of 70 per cent. Essentially, for every shilling written in
premium (net of cession), 70 cents was exiting through the rear door.
This is akin to a revolving door.
For the motor
vehicle business class, net claims ratio stood at a whopping 96 per
cent. At the same time, cession ratios remained very low at just three
per cent; which points to the fact that underwriters weren’t biting more
than they were able to chew.
Effectively, the steepness in claims is very suggestive of existence of voluminous illegitimate claims. Essentially, fraud.
The
medical business looks a bit interesting: net claims and cession rates
stood at 62 per cent and 28 per cent, very suggestive of a mix of fraud,
albeit at low levels, and overstretched risk capacities.
My point here being that fraudulent claims, especially in these two business classes, could actually be higher than thought.
Most
of the fraud seems to be coming from hospitals and motor vehicle repair
points (the garages). In fact, one of the big underwriters recently
disclosed that up to 40 per cent of its claims are fraudulent.
This
then brings me to two issues: first, why haven’t underwriters
considered a full integration? For argument purposes, assume 40 per cent
of all underwriters’ claims were fraudulent—that translates into some
Sh22 billion every year.
That is an amount enough to
set up an underwriters-owned fully-functioning hospital(s), clinic(s),
drug-dispensing points (pharmacies), motor vehicle repair points and
spare parts supply chains.
Such
a full integration can then give underwriters full visibility of the
whole chain; from claims origination to payment, possibly taking out the
fraudulent aspects of the system.
There is just no way general insurers can continue booking premiums in excess of Sh80 billion annually and retaining nothing.
That’s
not business and, they must really disrupt themselves. Otherwise
insurance companies will continue to finance hospitals and garages in
this town.
The second issue is around information
sharing. It shouldn’t be acceptable that a single insurable liability
can be underwritten concurrently on multiple occasions especially in the
motor vehicle business.
Once an insurance contract
has crystallised, that information should be easily available to other
underwriters for purposes of visibility.
I understand a lot of progress has been made on this front but still, the process must run its full course until actualisation.
Players
must also dump this restrictive, predatory approach to underwriting for
their own good. I mean they have to share stuff. The banking sector has
done an excellent job in information sharing and they realised it is
for their own good.
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