Rwandans go the polls on Friday in a presidential election in
which strongman Paul Kagame is widely expected to cruise to a third term
in office.
The 59-year-old leader faces two
little-known candidates who were given only three weeks to campaign
against the incumbent, who has kept a tight hold on power since his
rebel army ended the 1994 genocide.
Observers say Frank
Habineza of the Democratic Green Party — the only permitted critical
opposition party — and independent candidate Philippe Mpayimana face an
unwinnable battle.
Even Kagame has said the result is a foregone conclusion.
While
the nation has been colourfully covered with the red, white and blue of
the ruling Rwandan Patriotic Front (RPF) and posters of Kagame, there
has been barely a trace of the opposition.
"They told
us we cannot put our banners or flags where the RPF's things are, but
unfortunately the RPF put theirs almost everywhere," Habineza told AFP
during a recent rally in the south of the country.
He was standing in front of a small stage, surrounded by about 100 people, including many children drawn by the booming music.
"I
came out of curiosity, but he has no chance. Kagame has delivered
everything he promised, there is no one but him," said Sabin
Nkundukozera, 66.
Farmer Sylvain Mutaimukunda, 38, was similarly dismissive.
Farmer Sylvain Mutaimukunda, 38, was similarly dismissive.
"It is the first time I have heard of this man, I couldn't even tell you his name," he said of Habineza.
In contrast, thousands flock to Kagame's rallies, where the president has repeated that "the election is over".
His
confidence comes after 98 per cent of Rwandans approved a
constitutional amendment in a 2015 referendum that granted him the right
to run for a third term in office.
Observers condemned the reform, which could potentially see Kagame retain office twice more if re-elected this time and allow him to stay president until 2034.
'A coronation'
Kagame,
a lanky former guerilla fighter, was just 36 when his rebel army routed
extremist Hutu forces who slaughtered an estimated 800,000 people —
mainly minority Tutsis — and seized Kigali.
He served
first as vice-president and defence minister, although he was widely
considered the de facto leader of the country and was appointed as
president by lawmakers in 2000.
He was first elected to the post in 2003 and again in 2010 with more than 90 per cent of votes.
He
is credited with a remarkable turnaround in the shattered nation,
bringing order, stability, infrastructure and annual economic growth of
about seven per cent.
However,
rights groups accuse him of ruling through fear, relying on a
systematic repression of the opposition, free speech and the media.
Critics
have been assassinated, jailed or forced into exile, and some observers
believe the only reason Habineza and Mpayimana have been allowed to run
is that they pose no threat.
"There
is no election in Rwanda, there is a coronation declaring Kagame the
king," said outspoken local journalist Robert Mugabe.
"The real opposition, the people with the real voices, cannot be around," he said.
However,
political analyst Christopher Kayumba said Kagame remains popular, with
Rwandans seeing him as a guarantor of stability after his military
victory brought an end to the genocide.
"There is no
way you can compare the stature of President Kagame, the resources of
the RPF, with the Green Party. The opposition will be beaten hands down.
There is no question about that."
There are 6.9 million registered voters across the tiny east African nation, known as the Land of a Thousand Hills. Rwandans in the diaspora will vote a day earlier. Polling stations open at 0500 GMT and close at 1300 GMT.
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