In Summary
- One hopes that the convergence of interests between Kigali and Kinshasa over Lake Kivu’s potential provides a template for shared prosperity will inspire a negotiated resolution of outstanding issues such as the menace of negative forces that still roam the vast wilderness of ...the DR Congo with impunity.
After a season of bleak news coming out of the Great Lakes
region, mainly as a result of incidents of violence in the Democratic
Republic of Congo and Burundi, a bright spot emerged with Rwanda and the
DR Congo signing a joint oil exploration agreement last week.
Although the agreement is specific to activity by Rwanda’s Ngali
Energy on Lake Kivu, which straddles the border shared by the two
countries, it nevertheless brings much relief and sets an important
precedent for a continent whose haphazard borders have long been a
source of contention between nations.
Unresolved tensions between Tanzania and Malawi speak to the
significance of this agreement and the need for pragmatism even amid our
differences.
There are many points of departure on issues involving Rwanda
and the DR Congo and yet they have managed to put them aside to allow
progress on a matter whose outcome promises long-term economic benefits
for both.
Anticipating a positive outcome, the agreement also covers the
joint exploitation of oil should any be discovered. The two parties
agreed that all the technical and geological data that Ngali Energy will
gather belong to them both.
This agreement comes at an interesting time for the African petroleum industry.
At a time of low global prices, potential such as that under
Lake Kivu is seen as marginal by the major oil companies and was
therefore unlikely to attract investor interest, which would bring
forward rather than push back exploration. By taking ownership of its
oil exploration programme through the deal with Ngali Energy, Rwanda has
killed two birds with one stone.
For one it allows a priority programme to proceed while on the
other it minimises leakage of value to external economies. Other
benefits come in the form of development of domestic engineering
capacity.
By this alone, Rwanda is de-risking the programme and when
partners finally come on board as they are bound to, this will be more
on Rwanda’s terms that on the terms of that sacred cow called the
investor.
One hopes that the convergence of interests between Kigali and
Kinshasa over Lake Kivu’s potential provides a template for shared
prosperity will inspire a negotiated resolution of outstanding issues
such as the menace of negative forces that still roam the vast
wilderness of the DR Congo with impunity.
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