By JAMES ANYANZWA
In Summary
- Heavy investment in mega projects across the region is, however, taking a toll of its finances and the firm must now borrow heavily to sustain growth momentum.
- Firm's borrowing has increased more than ten-fold in the past five years.
- Although analysts see Centum’s accumulated debt as sustainable, some of them consider the prospects of attracting additional equity capital from foreign investors dim in the wake of a bear run in the regional stockmarkets and instability in the global economic environment.
After a sterling performance and the recent unveiling of its $230 million flagship property Two Rivers Mall in Nairobi, Kenyan investment company Centum is on a roll.
It has a pipeline of big ticket investments in the energy sector and is eyeing expansion across the continent.
The heavy investment in mega projects across the region is,
however, taking a toll of its finances and the firm must now borrow
heavily to sustain growth momentum.
The firm, which is listed on the Nairobi Securities Exchange and
cross-listed on the Ugandan Securities Exchange has seen its borrowing
increase more than ten-fold in the past five years.
Its debt rose from Ksh1 billion ($10 million) in the 2011/2012
financial year to Ksh10.47 billion ($104.7 million) in the 2015/2016
financial year and for the six months to September 30, 2016, the
borrowings climbed to Ksh19 billion ($190 million).
Similarly, third party funds secured from local and foreign
investors jumped from Ksh1.39 billion ($13.9 million) to Ksh151.75
billion ($1.51 billion) in the same period, according to the firm’s 2016
annual report.
Sources of funds
The firm said it is looking at borrowing, third party equity
funds, proceeds from the sale of its shares from companies that are not
listed and cash it generates from its day-to-day operations to drive its
growth plan to fruition.
“We finance our investments through a combination of internally
generated funds and debt capital,” said James Mworia, chief executive of
Centum.
Analysts caution that attracting funding for the projects could
prove difficult owing to the poor performance of regional stockmarkets
and uncertainty in the global economic environment.
In the 2015/2016 financial year, Centum earned Ksh6.2 billion
($62 million) from the sale of its shares in private companies,
including the disposal of its stake in the financial services provider
AON for Ksh1.02 billion ($10.2 million).
Although analysts see Centum’s accumulated debt as sustainable,
some of them consider the prospects of attracting additional equity
capital from foreign investors dim in the wake of a bear run in the
regional stockmarkets and instability in the global economic
environment.
“Given the large-scale nature of the projects we are seeking to
develop, third party equity investment in de-risked projects is a key
component of our funding strategy,” said Mr Mworia.
Third party investors
To date, Centum has attracted more than Ksh151 billion ($1.51 billion) worth of third party funds
Analysts at AIB Capital said third party funds could prove a
tall order to attract given that the value of private equity deals is
shrinking in the wake of falling commodity prices and weakening
currencies across the region.
“The worsening negative perception of Africa renders it more
difficult to attract third party investors who are key to Centum’s
business model for facilitating the increase in value of projects and
their completion,” AIB Capital said in an investor note dated October
2016.
Eric Musau, a senior research analyst at Standard Investment
Bank, said the mounting debt could be sustainable if it is sufficiently
covered by the proceeds from the sale of the development projects, most
of which are still under construction.
“I think their debt is sustainable because they are selling off
parts of their projects as they develop them to reduce gearing and
achieve successful completion,” said Mr Musau.
Edwin Chui, a research analyst at Dyer&Blair Investment Bank
said proceeds from some of the subsidiaries provide adequate buffer
against debt repayment.
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