The Nairobi Securities Exchange (NSE) is the worst-performing
market globally year-to-date according to Bloomberg, with risk-averse
investors shunning stocks for safe-haven government debt.
The
chief executive of the NSE Geoffrey Odundo was quoted by Bloomberg
saying demand has been limited by a continued wait-and-see attitude by
investors amid persistent volatility.
“Because of
issues around volatility in the markets, most pension schemes over the
past two years have lost value in their equity holdings so they want to
play a bit safer. Interest rates have historically given them a better
performance so that is why they are willing to buy government paper,” Mr
Odundo was quoted by the news service as saying.
He was, however, optimistic things would change even as the country gets into a traditionally market depressing electoral mode.
“We
see it bottoming at some point. Foreigners are waiting for better
prices and are picking stocks at fairly low prices and this has dragged
the index downwards, especially given that when the stocks that really
drive volume — which are the telcos and the banking sector — fall, they
drag the index down.”
Nine
stocks at the NSE are trading at multi-year lows in the current bear
market. They are Stanbic Bank, Kenya Power, Athi River Mining, Sanlam,
East Africa Breweries Ltd, Centum, Diamond Trust Bank, Umeme and CIC
Insurance are trading at lows of between three to 12 years.
Others such as Home Afrika and KenGen are trading at near all-time lows.
The
market has been on a slide since March 2015 when it went bearish
following the positive returns recorded in the preceding three years.
Investors
have lost Sh654 billion in paper wealth during the latest bear run,
which has seen the main index (the NSE 20 share index) lose 46.3 per
cent value to stand at 2,955 points.
Analysts expect
equities will be flat this year, weighed down by concerns over the
General Election and the US Federal Reserve base rate hike.
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