By DENNIS KABAARA
Last Monday night’s first US Presidential debate
provided welcome relief from our localised hullaballoo around Moi
University, and the negotiated exit of our current IEBC commissioners.
As we prepared to watch the debate at the unearthly hour of 4
a.m, it was reported that candidate Hillary Clinton was “studiously
preparing”, while candidate Donald Trump apparently planned to “wing it”
(that is, speak off the cuff).
We even knew in advance that, as moderator, NBC
Anchor Lester Holt had selected a line of questioning around three fine
themes — “America’s Direction”, “Achieving Prosperity” and “Securing
America”.
Let’s just say that’s where policy ended and
politics began. In the subsequent US, international and local press
avalanche of competing opinion around “who won”, little or no reference
was made to how either candidate performed on these outcome-focused
themes.
Indeed, the lasting impression of what was
effectively an expensive exercise in mchongoano (“dissing one another”
or “put downs”) is one of a parallel debate between Mrs Clinton’s
prescriptions and Mr Trump’s descriptions, with few the wiser among the
unusually big number of undecided voters this year.
Not to say the debate was not good fun. My
favourite moment was Hillary’s lovely “smile-shrug-shuffle” “Whew, Ok!”
response to The Donald’s aggressive diatribe on who among the two has
the better “Presidential temperament,” as comedian Bernie Mac might
exclaim, with eyes rolling, “America…”
Where am I going with this? Accepting that
presidential debates, especially of US vintage, are increasingly about
the sound and fury of big promises, steady and powerful body language
and witty “one-liners”, where does one find an honest dialogue between
electoral competitors around what I call “so what” questions — that is,
questions on outcomes and impacts that affect ordinary people?
Back to “Magical Kenya”. The Eldoret and IEBC
headlines I mentioned earlier are pointing us towards a 2017 election
that firmly resists discourse on real issues facing Kenyans (and the
progress we are making, or not), and cynically reduces us to
cantankerous, and possibly violent, campaigns overseen by an unprepared
elections manager susceptible to easy compromise. This is not a pretty
picture.
Yet, despite this alarming perspective, we are
likely to have our own presidential (and hopefully, gubernatorial)
debates some time in 2017.
Presumably, these will be an improvement on the
tragi-comedy that was our 2013 presidential debate season; in which
Candidate Dida was the star turn.
Given the ray of sunshine that our Constitution
offers in transparency, accountability and freedom of information, we
could be looking at a moment in which we use our own 2017 debates to
“stress-test” the claimed achievements and future promises of our
President and Governor incumbents, as well as the alternatives presented
by those offering a different leadership path.
If we really are at the point in our development
where it is possible that an exchange of ideas “trumps” an exchange of
fists, then what should we ask of our prospective candidates —
incumbents and challengers?
I think it’s time to start testing our potential candidates for their “outcome visions”.
Simply, let’s question the whole list of shiny
projects — which are outputs at best, but are really inputs and
activities —that have littered the Kenyan landscape since 2013, and ask –
“so what?” of the incumbents.
Equally, let’s interrogate the endless critiques
offered by challengers, tease out their real alternative promises and
ask again – “so what”?
As an aside, South Africa has tried this “so what”
framework – called the “outcomes approach” – built around 12 outcomes –
basic education, health, safety and security, employment, skills,
economic infrastructure, food security, human settlements, local
governance, the environment, a global South Africa and public service
that actually works.
Of course, the jury is still out on its implementation, but
it is a clever design that links political manifesto promises to policy,
programmes and projects through what they refer to as the
“macro-organisation of the state”.
But this is not just about big words. Let’s take a
walk on the wild side, and imagine every leader has a five-level “so
what” (or outcome) agenda that we should test.
Call this the “meta to nano” agenda. To begin, the
leader’s “meta-agenda” revolves around delivering individual prosperity
and human progress, not as “either/or” choices, but together in an
environment of peace. That’s the theme for testing governors.
At national level, this agenda extends to balancing
human and national security against individual and group rights, while
respecting the justice system and the independence of the judiciary.
Below meta is the “macro-agenda”. “Macro” is about
growing the Kenyan resource base, not simply in terms of financial and
economic capital, but human, knowledge and social capital, while
carefully managing our natural capital, including land.
Then there’s the “meso-agenda” around addressing
four inequalities – gender, geography, inter-generational and social
exclusion (including negative ethnicity).
The “micro-agenda” follows. Think the “five
basics” at household level. Food; other basics (education, health,
shelter, security, even a sense of community); income opportunities and
access to assets; participatory governance beyond elections; and safety,
security and accessible justice, or the rule of law.
What about the “nano agenda”? This is the
flip-side of the meta-agenda. In other words, it’s about leaders
addressing individuals’ everyday concerns – from good jobs, to living
standards and costs, to safety in public places and private spaces, to
rights-led access to resources such as water.
Why would this framework of interrogation be
different or better? Well, it forces our candidates to think beyond
input-activity type results (“I built a school/bought laptops”) to
outcomes (“I improved education access/quality/throughput”).
It prompts candidates to think beyond legacy
monuments, towards programmes that deliver real progress for people.
Hopefully, this approach directs us away from PR events, flagship
projects and the like towards pro-people policy that fixes social
problems.
Is this agenda “stress-test” complicated? Yes, and
it’s deliberately repetitive; we’re a developmental state. Our
problems are more than a digital rendition of post-independence
“poverty, ignorance and disease”.
Our solutions extend beyond money, or debt-fuelled investment that isn’t outcome-focused.
Mostly, I bet it’s time we respectfully engaged our
politicians in this sort of multi-level, outcome-type thinking if we
are to progress not simply from “promising” to “good”, but all the way
to “great”.
After all, as the US Presidential debate tells me, isn’t it time for our own “so what” discourse as 2017 looms?
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