By REUTERS
In Summary
- The poll, conducted by the Congo Research Group at New York University in collaboration with a Congolese polling institute, sampled 7,545 respondents in Congo's 26 provinces in face-to-face interviews between May and September.
- If the presidential election were held today, 33 per cent said they would vote for former provincial governor Moise Katumbi, 18 per cent for opposition leader Etienne Tshisekedi and 7.8 percent for Kabila.
Congolese overwhelmingly oppose changing the country's
constitution to allow President Joseph Kabila to stand for a third term
and believe he should step down at the end of his mandate in December,
according to a rare opinion poll published on Tuesday.
Democratic Republic of Congo's ruling coalition and part of the
opposition have agreed to delay the vote from this November to April
2018, citing difficulties enrolling millions of voters
But the country's main opposition bloc rejects the accord,
saying it allows Kabila to cling to power and remove constitutional term
limits.
The poll, conducted by the Congo Research Group at New York
University in collaboration with a Congolese polling institute, sampled
7,545 respondents in Congo's 26 provinces in face-to-face interviews
between May and September.
Over 81 per cent of the respondents oppose changing the
constitution to allow Kabila to stand for a third term. Seventy-four per
cent say he should leave office this year.
If the presidential election were held today, 33 per cent said
they would vote for former provincial governor Moise Katumbi, 18 per
cent for opposition leader Etienne Tshisekedi and 7.8 percent for
Kabila.
Kabila registered a 44 per cent approval rating. Katumbi and Tshisekedi received 85.8 and 65.3 per cent ratings respectively.
The results, which varied little based on socio-economic status,
gender and religion, show a marked drop in support for Kabila, who
officially won 48.9 percent of the vote in 2011, a consequence of a lack
of economic development and poor security.
Exhaustive surveys are almost non-existent in Congo, where poor
roads and little electricity make polling difficult or unreliable. The
Congo Research Group said its poll had a margin of error of 5 per cent.
Katumbi, the multi-millionaire former governor of Congo's
copper-mining region, declared his candidacy for president in May but
was then sentenced in absentia to three years in prison for real estate
fraud.
Tshisekedi, the 83-year-old president of Congo's largest
opposition party, finished runner-up to Kabila in the 2011 election,
which observers said was marred by fraud.
Congo is Africa's largest copper producer but ranks 176 out of 189 countries on the UN Human Development Index.
Over 48 per cent of respondents said they would participate in protests if elections were rigged or delayed.
Congo has not experienced a peaceful transition of power
since independence in 1960. Dozens were killed last month in
demonstrations in the capital, Kinshasa.
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