Opinion and Analysis
By KENNEDY MULWA
In Summary
- The Jubilee administration should come up with strong measures to improve the financial situation.
- Such steps should include working on reducing the rising interest rates, reducing the bloated public workforce, instilling financial discipline in public offices.
- The government should deal with perpetrators of corruption ruthlessly. The vice is pervasive and is destroying our economic fibre.
Kenya is facing a cash crunch and one of the main
reasons is the huge size of government. Treasury secretary Henry Rotich
has linked the problem to depressed revenue collection and the weakening
shilling.
Mr Rotich’s admitting of the financial crunch calls for sober thinking on the state of the economy, from production to distribution and consumption.
The government is not facing a cash crisis, only
cash flow problems. Several factors have contributed to this dire
situation. First, the shilling has continued to lose ground against the
dollar and other major currencies.
Additionally, the shilling has shown tendencies of
weakening against East African currencies too. High debt payments, low
revenue collection and expensive interest rates have been cited as
reasons for the cash crunch.
At Sh132.6 billion, the debt payment in the three
months to September was more than the Sh117 billion recurrent spending
and nearly six times the Sh24.5 billion spent on projects in the quarter
to September.
The Kenya Revenue Authority collected Sh181.2
billion in the first two months of the current financial year, which was
below the expected average for the period.
Domestic borrowing is also below target because of
high interest rates, while the depreciation of the shilling against the
dollar weighs heavily on plans to meet revenue targets.
Currency depreciation manifests itself when the value of a particular currency slumps relative to others.
Factors such as a country’s economic environment,
monetary policy and global market conditions impact currencies on a
regular basis.
Additionally, major economic, social and political
events can cause sudden or extended drops in currency value. Secondly
tourism, which was hitherto a vital income source, has virtually
collapsed.
The Al-Shabaab attacks in Mpeketoni, Nairobi’s Westgate Mall, and Garissa University have immensely devastated tourism.
These and other attacks have destroyed a sector which was doing quite well, accounting for about 13 per cent of GDP in 2013.
Thirdly, Kenya Revenue Authority (KRA) has failed
to meet its tax collection target. Also donor disbursements have fallen
behind schedule.
The traditional slow collection of government
revenue at the beginnings of each financial year, coupled with demand
for disbursement, has largely contributed to the current cash crunch.
Fourthly, corruption is quite rampant. In fact,
graft in terms of mismanaging public funds has escalated in the recent
past. This lucrative environment for corruption should be dealt with
Corruption became more rampant when county governments became operational, taking greed to new heights.In the new governance units, governors who fail to heed to
members of county assemblies’ greedy demands are threatened with
impeachment.
The central government should sort out this mess by ensuring that the crooks are made to account for their actions.
It should also reduce the bloated public wage bill and the number of constitutional offices.
The inflated workforce has multiple effects on the
economy since 60 per cent of revenue collected each year is paid to
government employees.
On the other hand, the Ethics and Anti-Corruption
Commission (EACC) should be given prosecutorial powers to enhance the
enforcement of its investigation.
EACC should investigate any information or
allegation of corruption, prosecute and have power to institute criminal
proceedings against any person before any court.
It is embarrassing to witness county governments
buy wheelbarrows, bar soap and mobile phones at exorbitant prices that
run into hundreds of thousands of shillings.
These daylight robberies are draining government
coffers. The runaway greed has triggered an unnecessary spending spree
in both the national and county governments.
Projects of little value addition are rampant. They
include non-essential foreign trips, seminars and worthless
‘‘development’’ ventures — leading to grave waste of government funds.
When all is said and done, the Jubilee administration should come up with strong measures to improve the financial situation.
Such steps should include working on reducing the
rising interest rates, reducing the bloated public workforce, instilling
financial discipline in public offices, and reducing excessive
expenditure in both the central and county governments.
Fighting corruption should be done from within, by people who know and understand government operations.
It is insiders who know the lapses and loopholes
that create opportunities for abuse of office and corruption. Outsiders
do not; but they can support our war on graft.
Above all, the government should deal with
perpetrators of corruption ruthlessly. The vice is pervasive and is
destroying our economic fibre.
Dr Mulwa is a business consultant.
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