By Vincent Onjala
In Summary
In the 2015 budget speech by Finance Minister,
Ms Saada Mkuya, there was no mention of banking sector measures to help
growth and stability of the sector other than the exemption of income
from the realization of bonds issued by the East African Development
Bank.
On the contrary, the Kenyan Cabinet Secretary for
Finance did propose to increase the core capital of banks from the
current Ksh1 billion (Tsh20 billion) to Ksh5 billion (Tsh100 billion)
progressively by December 2018.
The capital requirement for banks in Tanzania
remain at TZS 15 billion. The measures by the Kenyan government are
meant to promote financial stability within the banking sector in line
with the global trends. Is Tanzania ready for such drastic measures?
Tanzania has more than 50 banks regulated by Bank of Tanzania. Do we
need so many banks in Tanzania?
The future of the banking industry in Tanzania
lies in innovation. This will enhance financial deepening and inclusion
in the country that remains largely unbanked. With innovation most banks
are likely to grow and be able to increase their capital base to
enhance stability. In a report by Financial Sector Deepening Trust
(FSDT) Tanzania, the use of mobile money has positively changed the
landscape of access to financial services. However, there is need for
the government to continue putting in place measures that are going to
encourage financial sector deepening through innovation. Some of the key
trends in the African banking sector that are fueling the call for
innovation include factors such as growing middle class, development of
infrastructure, discovery of oil and gas reserves and increased levels
of education among other factors. The growing population of middle class
does want to feel being taken care of. This is a group that wants to
bank with institutions that provide convenience as opposed to the
traditional old styled banking halls with long queues.
The chief executives of banks must start creating
the bank for the year 2020. How would this look like? What would
customers want? How would technology look like? Would there be need for
brick and mortar branches? What opportunities would be there in data
analytics for the huge bank’s data? Will customers want one account
number that can be switched from one bank to another without stepping
into the banking hall armed with tens of filled up pages? This is
already happening in the mobile telephone space in some of the East
African countries. How will social media impact banking? How will the
role of a bank as a financial intermediary change with the likelihood of
investors proving funds directly to borrowers after online vetting?
Will our banks be relevant without innovation in year 2020?
With the growth of the mobile telephony banking,
the bank of the future will be based on mobile phones. The mobile phone
is likely to replace the traditional bank branches. I do expect that
mobile phones will have applications that will analyse different
investment opportunities for the owners and provide real time update on
where they should invest their funds. For example, the mobile phone
applications might advise the owner to move funds from current account
to fixed deposit or a bond if the returns are better. I foresee mobile
phones applications that will understand the spending patterns of the
owner of the phone and be able to discourage the user of impulse buying
of commodities if the decision is unwise financially. I also foresee
mobile phones being able to automatically determine how much of your
salary you should save monthly for your future pension.
Data analytics is going to be a major thing in the
banking sector in the coming years. Banks have massive amounts of data
on each of their customers. This data include age, sex, race,
citizenship, spending patterns, residential address, number of children,
marital status, holiday destinations one has travelled to, based on the
history of payments, average income levels based on salary remittances,
business turnover, credit history, instances of non-compliance with
laws and regulations including financial crimes among others. Banks will
have to invest heavily in data analytics in order to analyse this data
and make it of use to customers and other players in the financial
sector space. This will be very useful in product development. The
outcome of the data analytics will also be useful in identifying things
such as credit worthiness and any fraud indicators. We have seen some
mobile phone companies already issuing loans to customers based on
online vetting which uses analytics to determine a customer’s credit
worthiness and how much the customer qualifies for a loan through the
mobile phone.
Social media will be a big player in the financial
sector space in future. How many hours do youths spend on social media
per day? Banks have to integrate social media into their day to day
banking activities. Create applications that can interact with social
media and provide solutions to people who want to stay on social media
while conducting their banking business. I foresee shares, bonds and
other securities being sold and purchased on social media. There will
have to be applications that are linked to platforms like Facebook where
a ‘like’ translates into an investment by the profile owner i.e. if I
click ‘like’ for a certain investment on Facebook, my mobile app should
automatically invest on my behalf based on my preset investment rules.
Banks must rethink their financial intermediary
role. Banks that are primarily taking deposits and lending may be out of
business by year 2020. People with funds may want to eliminate
middlemen (read – Banks) and lend directly to borrowers after online
vetting. Technology will be the key driver for decision making and risk
management in future. I can see information technology system
applications playing a big role in decision making by financial
institutions and customers. Banks must start investing in technology for
the future.
Banks should start having candid discussions on
how the future of banking looks like and what processes need to be put
in place. Banks needs to move away from a reactive approach to
regulations and start being proactive in creating products that force
the regulators to be on their toes in creating regulations for the new
products. It is important for banks to invest in skilled human resources
that can specifically study trends in the global and local markets and
front different innovative ideas for implementation. Innovation that
creates more value for customers will be the differentiator in banking
business in the coming years.
Mr Onjala is a senior manager, Financial Services,
KPMG East Africa (vonjala@kpmg.com). The views and opinions are those
of the author and do not necessarily represent the views and opinions of
KPMG.
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