Saturday, June 27, 2015

Tanzania, Uganda now turn to loans to boost dwindling foreign reserves

Tanzania and Uganda have resorted to loans and repurchase agreements in a bid to shore up their declining foreign reserves. PHOTO | FILE 
By Allan Olingo, The EastAfrican
In Summary
  • The two countries have seen a fall of more than $1.1 billion in foreign reserves in the past 12 months as a result of public spending on imports and currency interventions.
  • It is however not clear at what rate Tanzania will be borrowing from South Africa and China and why it opted for private bank financing rather than getting a precautionary facility from the International Monetary Fund like Kenya did.
  • The choice by Uganda to have a repo arrangement of $4.2 million is also unconventional, but analysts say that it works for both the country and the banks involved in the arrangements.
Tanzania and Uganda have resorted to loans and repurchase agreements in a bid to shore up their declining foreign reserves.
The two countries have seen a fall of more than $1.1 billion in foreign reserves in the past 12 months as a result of public spending on imports and currency interventions.
Tanzania last week said it had signed $800 million in loans from Rand Merchant Bank in South Africa and China Development Bank Corp to bolster its foreign-exchange reserves, as it shores up a weakening currency and plugs the budget deficit of $2.99 billion.
According to Bloomberg, the negotiations for the loans are complete; the Johannesburg-based Rand Merchant Bank will raise $600 million through private placements while $200 million will come China Development Bank.
“We are expecting about $800 million and we should receive it from both banks before the end of June. We are hoping this will improve the supply of foreign currency in the market,” Joseph Masawe, Bank of Tanzania’s head of economic research and policy told Bloomberg.
The Tanzania shilling has weakened 21 per cent so far this year and is Africa’s second worst-performing currency, after Ghana’s cedi. Tanzania has scaled down its sales of foreign currency to banks.
As at the end of last week, its foreign reserves stood at $4.07 billion, down from $4.61 billion a year ago.
Tanzania’s central bank has sold $339 million to lenders in the past five months to support the shilling. It also spent $380.3 million on its external debt obligations as repayment on interest and principal in the 2014/15 financial year.
“Currency depreciation has been caused by the strengthening of the US dollar, while the government’s external obligations and speculation inthe treasuriesmarket are also to blame,” Mr Masawe said.
It is however not clear at what rate Tanzania will be borrowing from South Africa and China and why it opted for private bank financing rather than getting a precautionary facility from the International Monetary Fund like Kenya did.
An economist at the Central Bank of Kenya said that Tanzania opted for private bank borrowing because it has reached its borrowing limits with the IMF.
“The country could also want to avoid paying for its imports using the dollar, hence looking at paying with the currency of the source of imports like China, which it has a lot of development agreements with. That reduces the currency exchange losses it would incur,” he said.

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