President Kenyatta, Deputy President William Ruto, Cord leader
Raila Odinga and newly-appointed Interior Cabinet Secretary Joseph
Nkaissery are among prominent Kenyans who will shape national events in
2015.
The key events likely to shape the year include
the conclusion of the case facing Mr Ruto and radio presenter Joshua
arap Sang at the International Criminal Court (ICC) at The Hague, the
construction of the 480-kilometre Mombasa-Nairobi standard gauge railway
and the planned Okoa Kenya and Pesa Mashinani referenda push.
Considering
the threat posed by terrorism, national security will be one of the key
agenda items in 2015, and attention will be on what President Kenyatta
and Maj-Gen (Rtd) Nkaissery plan to do to defeat Al-Shaabab and
neutralise bandits, cattle rustlers and armed criminals.
Also
likely to capture national attention is the possible prosecution of
officials of the now defunct Interim Independent Electoral Commission
(IIEC) and past and present Kenya National Examinations Council (Knec)
officials implicated in the “Chicken Scandal” for allegedly receiving
bribes to influence the awarding of printing tenders to a British
printing firm, Smith & Ouzman. A London court will sentence top
managers at the company next month.
In politics,
February and March will be closely watched for the Homa Bay senatorial
by-election and the Kajiado Central parliamentary by-elections.
The
Homa Bay seat fell vacant after the death of Senator Otieno Kajwang’
last November while the Kajiado Central seat was vacated by Mr Nkaissery
after he was appointed to the Cabinet.
STARTS IN 15 DAYS
As the year begins, attention will be on the case facing Mr Ruto and Mr Sang at the ICC, whose final stage starts in 15 days.
Last
month, presiding Judge Chile Eboe-Osuji directed the Prosecution to
close its case within the trial session starting on January 16. So far,
27 witnesses have testified in the case facing Mr Ruto and Mr Sang since
it started in September 2013.
Once the Prosecution closes its case, the defence teams will be invited to make their final submissions.
The
judges have, however, indicated that they may allow the two teams to
file a motion of no-case-to-answer, should they wish to do so.
That
would mean the defence will not argue its case, but will let the judges
make a ruling based on evidence presented by the Prosecution and their
argument during cross-examination.
Attention will also
focus on the Okoa Kenya referendum drive spearheaded by the Opposition
coalition, Cord, and the Pesa Mashinani initiative led by Council of
Governors’ boss Isaac Ruto.
It will be interesting to
see how Cord and its leader, Mr Raila Odinga, mobilise support for the
referendum from at least 24 out of the 47 counties as required by law
for the campaign to sail through to the referendum stage.
Mr
Odinga also faces a task of ensure ODM retains the Homa Bay senatorial
seat following a fallout in the party after it gave a direct nomination
to Mr Moses Kajwang’, a brother of former Senator Otieno Kajwang’.
The
young Kajwang’s maiden forays in the county met a hostile reception and
it remains to be seen how Mr Odinga navigates the delicate political
path to retain the seat in the face of rebellion.
ON THE SPOT
Meanwhile,
the chairman of the Independent Electoral and Boundaries Commission, Mr
Issack Hassan will be on the spot over the “Chicken Scandal”.
Mr
Hassan is among top electoral and Knec officials that the Ethics and
Anti-Corruption Commission (EACC) has said it is investigating with a
view to prosecuting them in connection with the scandal.
EACC
chairman Mumo Matemu has said the commission is investigating matters
raised by a UK court during a ruling that saw Smith & Ouzman Ltd and
two of its most senior officials found guilty of corruptly making
payments to IIEC and Knec bosses.
Others implicated in
the scandal and who will be investigated include Energy Cabinet
Secretary Davis Chirchir, who served as commissioner at the defunct
IIEC, former IEBC chief executive officer James Oswago and former Knec
boss Paul Wasanga.
Focus will also be on the standard gauge railway whose construction starts this year.
The
Sh327 billion Mombasa to Nairobi phase of the project will be
undertaken by the China Road and Bridge Corporation (CRBC) and will mark
its largest local project in 30 years.
The railway is expected to create over 30,000 jobs, making it one of the top employers of the year.
Mid
last year, Kenyans expressed outrage when Kenya Railway Corporation
disclosed that 5,000 foreigners, mostly Chinese, would be airlifted to
Kenya to work on the SGR project as part of the 30,000 workers.
The
firm has also faced criticism for importing nearly all inputs from
China at the expense of local enterprises. The state has pegged use of
local material at 40 per cent of CRBC’s orders.
The Mombasa-Nairobi segment is scheduled to be completed in 42 months,
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