Opinion and Analysis
The Treasury building in Nairobi. Photo/FILE
Eurobond investors now give Kenyans Sh770bn reasons to believe in country
Even as Kenyans celebrate the successful issue of a
Sh176 billion ($2 billion) Eurobond, it must not be lost on policymakers
and the government of the day that the huge debt could cause serious
macro-economic instability in future if it is not prudently utilised.
The reality is that even as Kenyans celebrated success of
the multi-billion shilling issue, the country’s external debt load shot
up by the full amount of the Eurobond the minute it was credited in the
Treasury’s account.
Of this amount, Sh44 billion ($500 million) will be
due in five years’ time. The other tranche of Sh132 billion will be
payable in 10 years.
Before maturity of the bond, taxpayers will be
parting with billions of shillings every year in interest payments to
the bondholders.
On the face of it, the repayment of the Eurobond
should not be a problem if the funds received are utilised in financing
growth-spurring road, energy and agriculture projects as promised.
But the danger, and the reality, is that the cash
could be squandered on white elephants and recurrent expenses that are
not capable of moving Kenya’s growth rate by even the slightest margin.
If this happens, then Kenyans should be braced for
economic hardships experienced by countries such as Greece and Argentina
which went on an in-mitigated borrowing spree, only to experience
severe instability when their economies could not handle the
re-payments.
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