By Charles Onyango-Obbo
One hopes that the soon-to-be oil exporting
countries in East Africa, especially Kenya and Uganda, have taken note
of recent events in Ghana.
Ghana is one of the better-run African countries.
Its elections are stolen only about 50 per cent of the time, not 100 per
cent like in many other African nations. And it has less corruption
than most of the continent.
Yet in recent weeks, its fuel pumps were empty and
there were long queues everywhere. Strange, because Ghana is now
exporting oil.
Something puzzling tends to happen in Africa —
when a country hits oil and begins selling it, you can almost be sure
that it will have fuel shortages. Nigeria is one of the worst examples
of this on earth.
Wiser men speak broadly that this is a result of
what they call the “Oil Curse”. This is the situation where a country
strikes oil, and begins to stagnate economically.
This is because, to exaggerate a bit, many people
leave other productive things they were doing and try to cash in on the
easy oil wealth.
Other sections of the economy begin to wither away in neglect and corruption grows.
Other sections of the economy begin to wither away in neglect and corruption grows.
However, Africa has its unique ways and, besides
coups and war, oil tends to do something else that you perhaps see only
parts of the Middle East—it leads to the growth of religion.
In northern Nigeria, the politics of oil led to
the rise of radical mullahs and sheikhs. In the south to all manner of
miracle-purveying preachers and prophets. Easily the most powerful man
in Nigeria, and indeed Africa today, is Prophet TB Joshua.
It seems nothing happens in Africa, and
increasingly abroad without Prophet Joshua foreseeing it. The other day I
read that 60 per cent of the VIPs that travel to Nigeria, go to seek
divine intervention at the feet of Joshua. Among them is Malawi
president Joyce Banda, who consults him even on cabinet reshuffles.
Though it is now in oil, the Ghanaian currency, the Cedi, has lately taken a beating at the hands of the US dollar.
The colourful and charismatic “Archbishop” Duncan
Williams, of the Christian Action Faith Ministries, took to the pulpit
to command the Cedi to rise against the dollar, and the economy to
rebound.
This time, Adam Smith beat the bishop. The free
hand of the market continued to exert pressure on the Cedi, but William
says the good Lord will eventually deliver on his prayers.
I couldn’t find any economist who has studied this
matter, so I will speculate. In Nigeria where corrupt oil deals have
made some folks overnight millionaires, it is understandable that they
should think their good fortune is an act of God.
It is only reasonable that they should go to a
prophet or sheikh to thank God for his munificent intervention, and to
protect their newfound wealth. Pastors’ earnings would therefore rise in
oil-rich African nations.
Because some of those who miss out from the great
oil boom think it can be because Satan is standing in their way, they
turn to God to reverse their misfortune. And a holy man on the opposite
side of the food line also grows rich and influential. Hail oil!
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