Whichever way you look at it, the Communications Commission of Kenya has asked Safaricom to choose between a rock and a hard place.
Honestly, I don’t expect Safaricom to agree to share agent outlets and SIM card registration centres with it’s rivals.
Is it, really, fair to ask rivals to share shops and distribution networks? Some of the conditions are blatantly impractical.
And,
in a market-place that has only recently witnessed the entry of a
player offering leasing services for physical infrastructure, including
tower and base stations, the requirement that the dominant market player
must share towers and base stations with its rivals will surely be a
bitter pill to swallow for Safaricom.
Fortunately, the
dominant market player has a choice. If it gives up on buying yuMobile’s
assets, the stiff conditions will not apply.
A brief background to the saga. The fourth player by market share, yuMobile is closing down. So, in February, it entered into a deal with the only two successful businesses in the market, Airtel and Safaricom, to purchase its assets.
Under
the agreement, Airtel was to purchase subscribers, while Safaricom was
to buy the spectrum currently under the ownership of the troubled
company.
The agreement also had a deal for employees of yuMobile: 150 employees were to be absorbed by Safaricom, while 35 were to go to Airtel.
The agreement also had a deal for employees of yuMobile: 150 employees were to be absorbed by Safaricom, while 35 were to go to Airtel.
OLIGOPOLISTIC POSITION
On
receiving the application, the chief executive of CCK, Mr Francis
Wangusi, appointed a seven-member technical committee to study the
application and make recommendations.
The approach of
the technical committee was to instinctively treat the issue as an
attempt by Safaricom and Airtel to entrench their oligopolistic
position in the market-place.
The committee argued that it did not make sense to concentrate scarce spectrum resources in the hands of one company.
Later,
the board decided to modify the recommendations by pretending to
accept Safaricom’s application, but in reality, introducing conditions
they knew Safaricom could not accept.
In
Kenya, regulation tends to be obsessed with control. Without doubt,
Safaricom has acquired unassailable market domination. There are
legitimate complaints about the quality of services it offers.
But we must accept that our main problem is lack of effective and transparent systems of regulating abuse of market-power.
Yet
apart from CCK, we also have a full-fledged competition authority.
Perhaps due to intrinsic incompetence on the part of institutions
regulating over-concentration of market power, regulators tend to
approach their work with brawn rather than brain.
Don’t we have over-concentration of power in the beer market? How about the cement industry or even the media?
In the soft drinks market, we have had competition issues between Coca Cola and its bottling plants for years.
TECHNOLOGY AND DYNAMISM
The super-market chains industry is beginning to evolve into an oligopoly.
Clearly,
there is considerable doubt as to whether the regulatory framework for
competition, mergers and acquisition is fit for he purpose.
In
technology markets like the mobile phone industry that are subject to
constant changes and innovation, I would not bother too much about the
potential for Safaricom to evolve into an enduring dominant player.
Investment
in technology and dynamism is what will eventually decide. A few years
ago, one would have imagined that Telkom Kenya’s monopoly was
unassailable and would endure for years. Where are they today? This is
what technology and big investment in innovation does.
In
the past, the dominant player in the manufacture of electric
type-writers would fight very hard to entrench himself as the dominant
player. He was wiped out by the advent of the computer.
In my view, Safaricom’s strength is not so much a testimony of its dynamism as the lack of dynamism elsewhere.
Regulation should focus on promoting innovation and investment in new technology.
The regulator must put the accent on how to address low-capital investment in network capacity and coverage.
jkisero@ke.nationmedia.com
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