JERUSALEM, Saturday
Israeli
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's talks with US President Barack Obama
next week are likely to prove crucial for determining whether peace
negotiations with the Palestinians have a future beyond April.
The
premier leaves Sunday for a series of meetings in Washington squarely
focused on two key issues: the fate of the US-led peace process in light
of an April 29 deadline, and nuclear talks between world powers and
Iran.
Although Netanyahu would like his talks with
Obama on Monday to deal predominantly with Iran, the White House appears
to have a different agenda.
"Obama will press him to
agree to a framework for a conclusive round of Israeli-Palestinian peace
negotiations that is being drafted by Secretary of State John Kerry," the New York Times said this week, quoting senior US officials.
negotiations that is being drafted by Secretary of State John Kerry," the New York Times said this week, quoting senior US officials.
Direct
peace talks, which began in July 2013 with the goal of reaching a deal
within nine months, have made no apparent progress, with Kerry now
focused on getting them to agree a framework proposal which would extend
the deadline until the year's end.
Although the
document has not yet been made public, it is understood to be a
non-binding proposal laying out guidelines for negotiating the central
issues of the conflict, including such as borders, security, Jerusalem,
the settlements and the right of return for Palestinian refugees.
The
proposal, or its outline, is likely to be presented to Netanyahu next
week and to Palestinian president Mahmud Abbas on March 17 when he meets
Obama at the White House.
While Kerry faces an uphill
battle to win over a Palestinian leadership which has steadfastly
refused any extension, following months of relentless Israeli settlement
expansion, pundits said the prime minister was likely to agree, albeit
with reservations.
"This is a crucial meeting with
Obama, which is going to determine the shape of the framework for
further negotiations," said Eytan Gilboa, an expert on US-Israeli
relations at Bar Ilan University.
"What both Kerry and
Obama are hoping to get is some kind of approval from Netanyahu for the
document," he told AFP, saying the Israeli leader was likely to accept
the framework rather than risk being portrayed as the party who brought
about the collapse of the talks.
The aim is reportedly
to secure an agreement before the end of March when Israel is due to
release a fourth and final batch of 26 veteran Palestinian security
prisoners in line with commitments to the US.
"Israel
won't be the one who derails the talks to achieve an American framework
paper," Eli Bardenstein wrote in Maariv newspaper.
However,
there may be a price to pay with Israel's army radio suggesting last
week that Washington was to demand a partial freeze on construction in
isolated settlements outside the major West Bank blocs that Israel hopes
to retain in any peace deal.
Freezing settlement
construction is a central demand of the Palestinians, but Israel has so
far resisted persistent pressure to renew a one-time, 10-month partial
freeze on new West Bank building.
The freeze expired in late 2010, contributing to the collapse of the last round of peace talks.
Hardliners
in Netanyahu's fractious coalition have cautioned the premier against
any such move, warning it could cost him dearly.
PALESTINIANS MUST BE FLEXIBLE
Netanyahu's
main message is that Israel has so far demonstrated flexibility, and
the time has come to demand the same of the Palestinians.
"We
want the process with Kerry to succeed but obviously it's not just
dependent on us," a senior Israeli official told AFP, on condition of
anonymity.
"Ultimately this process will only work if the Palestinians too are open to be creative and flexible," he said.
Last
week, the Palestinians said Kerry's ideas for a framework "cannot be
accepted," denouncing a clause stipulating recognition of Israel as the
Jewish state, and the fact that the framework glossed over their demand
for a capital in east Jerusalem.
Nimrod Goren, chairman
of the Israeli think-tank Mitvim, said a key aspect of the Washington
talks would be what could be done to keep the Palestinians at the table.
"Much
of the discussion behind the scenes will be about what Abbas should get
in terms of being able to accept the document, which now does not seem
very favourable towards him."
On Tuesday, Netanyahu
will be able to focus his attention fully on Iran when he addresses the
annual conference of the powerful pro-Israel lobby, AIPAC
.
.
"Israel
is worried about the post-interim agreement which ends on July 20 and
would like to know what the United States is going to do," said Gilboa
of the initial six-month deal to partially roll back Iran's nuclear
programme in exchange for limited sanctions relief.
With
Israel at odds with Washington over the shape of a final deal,
Netanyahu would seek to strengthen domestic US support for Israel.
"Netanyahu
will perhaps want to strengthen AIPAC on the Iranian issue... to keep
up the pressure on the Obama administration," said Goren.
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