IMF chief Christine Lagarde. The IMF focuses on numbers, not people, and
their advice has never raised the economic status of any country. SAPs
were implemented from a template that barely recognised the
peculiarities of each country. PHOTO/FILE
The IMF boss, Christine Lagarde, was in Kenya the past week and freely gave us advice on improving our economy.
I
would be cautious taking this advice, for the IMF focuses on numbers,
not people, and their advice has never raised the economic status of any
country.
Yes it is useful when countries get into
fiscal crises and need liquid cash to meet their obligations, but some
of us remember the painful Structural Adjustment Programs (SAPs) of the
1980s.
SAPs were implemented from a template that barely recognised the peculiarities of each country.
There
were some positives, like the selling off of some parastatals, such as
the Kenya Posts and Telecommunications, which then provided the space
for the mobile telephony that is now indispensable.
But
they also brought in painful changes that weakened us, introducing
increased fees in schools, hospitals and social services, as SAPs
focused on reducing state involvement not just in the economy, which is a
good thing given the corruption in Kenya, but also in essential
services that are taken for granted in the West.
One
of the key roles of the state is to provide quality free public
education, quality free healthcare, and quality free social services and
infrastructure. And it does this through taxation, which this regime
has been increasing at every turn.
Taxes need to be used efficiently and transparently.
But in Kenya, our taxes are openly stolen and misused.
It is the 30 per cent of the budget that is pilfered each year according to the Treasury itself, with no accountability.
It
is the huge remuneration costs for the political and civil service
elite, including the infamous Sh80,000 “buttock” (sitting) allowances.
Part
of the scramble for positions in boards of parastatals is for these
excessive “buttock” allowances that many live off comfortably. It is the
above-market prices for buying and building houses and office buildings
for our Big Men.
And now the state wants to re-impose the Capital Gains Tax — upon IMF advice.
Yet
the massive expansion in real estate development and construction —
with the attendant jobs and money circulation — is a result of removing
this tax.
We will surely see a decline in this sector with this tax.
Rather
than increasing taxes, the regime should be focusing on expanding the
economy. And the tourist sector has huge potential for expansion.
I
was pleased with the December announcement that Kenya will relax its
stringent anti-African visa rules to enable more Africans to visit and
do business in Kenya.
That is long overdue. Making it
as easy for a Nigerian, Senegalese, or Malian to enter Kenya as it is
for an American, Chinese or German is not only right, but makes sense
economically.
But we need to also work on our infrastructure to expand tourism.
France gets more than 70 million tourists a year, with the majority visiting the city of Paris and its attractions.
Yet
in Kenya, we celebrate receiving 1 million tourists as a milestone.
Interestingly, African tourists to France were recorded in 2009 as the
second largest group of tourists.
And look at what we have: wonderful and unique flora and fauna; stunning beaches; forests and mountains; deserts.
We certainly need to improve our roads, health care, trains and security as crucial pre-requisites.
Thus,
apart from African markets, China, India, Brazil are obvious markets as
their middle classes increase, but we should not forget Taiwan, Japan,
Norway, Germany, Holland, Belgium and Finland, whose economies are
holding strong. And we could focus on cultural tourism from India and
Middle East.
Doing this — instead of increasing taxes —
will be better for ordinary Kenyans, especially if combined with the
necessary task of reducing the high remuneration of our elite.
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