The government is unlikely to achieve
its target of collecting an additional Sh10 billion in Value Added Tax
this financial year as envisaged in the budget, despite the reforms
instituted in the domestic taxes category.
Experts
attribute this to low purchasing power and challenges in sealing
loopholes while clearing tax credits owed to corporates.
Reforms
in the VAT system are among the tax policy changes from which the
government expected to raise the Sh973 billion this year.
According
to the Medium-Term Expenditure Framework released last week, government
expects to raise Sh1.174 billion in 2014/2015 on account of the tax
reforms.
“VAT is a consumption tax. When spending is
low, that translates into low collections. The high cost of living has
reduced purchasing power,” said Mr Nikhil Hira, Tax Partner, Deloitte
EA.
Mr Hira observed that despite Parliament’s “making noises” over the high food prices, no changes were made.
“It
was expected that these changes would be made in November, but now we
hear they could do it in February. Until the economy takes off, the VAT
collections will remain low. It’s unlikely that government will collect
Sh10 billion this year, but there is potential in the future.”
“It
is unlikely that an additional Sh10 billion will be raised this year.
The assumption is that the figure is small, but whether government will
achieve this depends on the systems it uses,” said John Mutua of the
Institute of Economic Affairs.
KRA
Commissioner-General, John Njiraini last week said revenue collection is
expected to pick up in the second half of the year, with more domestic
taxpayers starting to pay up after they exhaust their VAT credits (tax
refunds), which have now stabilised at Sh29 billion, unlike before when
the amount was growing.
The administration of the VAT
Act 2013 is facing fresh challenges with investigations indicating the
possible under-valuation of previously zero-rated imports, especially
electronics.
Says National Tax Payers Association
chairman, Peter Kubebea: “Government must bring all vatable businesses
under the tax net through robust ICT platforms that enhance monitoring.”
The
government, according to experts, has also failed to expand the tax
base to the informal sector. Mr Mutua said VAT collection is pegged at
about Sh200 billion a year, about 25 per cent of the total national tax
collection figure.
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