Kenya Defence Forces (KDF) soldiers arrive at the Westgate mall in Nairobi on September 22, 2013. PHOTO/FILE
President Uhuru Kenyatta has created a
third command of the military to combat organised crime in Nairobi. The
group will be tasked with dealing with terrorism, drug trafficking and
the proliferation of small arms.
Raychelle Omamo, the
Defense Cabinet Secretary, says the new unit will deal with “issues that
affect the territorial integrity of our country”, but I find it hard to
imagine an issue where drug trafficking and small arms actually creates
a problem with territorial integrity.
The terrorist
attacks at the coast, which have been linked to separatist militia, have
been low in both casualties and effect, and have been ably handled by
the forceful ministrations of the police.
It is baffling why the government would want to outsource what should be routine police work to the military.
Is
our military trained for close-quarters urban warfare? You cannot order
in airpower when you are fighting small arms fire. You cannot use
mortars against a civilian populace.
Small arms come
from countries adjacent to ours, so why shouldn’t we tighten our
borders? How will our military handle pistols and Kalashnikovs?
How,
for example, will the military combat drug gangs? Drugs originate
outside the country and are, therefore, best handled at points of entry.
The army is usually segregated from society in their
barracks due to the nature of their work. They are trained to have the
mentality of occupiers who will not hesitate to fire on command. Their
first resort to violence is usually the equivalent of the police’s last
resort.
The army has its own rules, courts and command
structure and training. They are kept apart from civilians to stop any
consanguinity that might interfere with their job.
The
army does not work to prove guilt but is deployed to deal with the
situation. Soldiers’ training is more intense and less concerned with
casualties. Using the army to police a civilian population will require
retraining them in how to keep the peace.
Soldiers are
not meant to keep the peace; their job is to reflexively administer the
death penalty on those who are deemed public enemies.
Do you see soldiers carrying rungus?
Do they even have handcuffs? I have never seen a soldier with a
Kalashnikov; they all carry G3s, which are designed for the battlefield.
Such a gun would be a disaster at close quarters as
the force of its projectiles means that many innocent bystanders are at
risk. The police are meant to protect and serve, soldiers are brought in
to kill and destroy. The army, unless handling a disaster, should not
be deployed on Kenyan soil.
As for terrorism, we have
the Anti- terrorism Police unit. Future battles with terrorists will
almost certainly be fought in crowded urban areas because that is where
people live.
There is little point in holding people
hostage in a rural area; it does not have the same political effect.
More people live in towns than in rural areas in the world and that is
why urban warfare is important. The army trains for operations in openly
hostile territory.
Our anti-terrorism police need to
be well kitted, with armour, guns and protection. They should also
have cellphone jammers. In the footage of the Westgate attack, the
suspects were seen using their mobile phones and conversing with their
handlers through cellular networks.
That is how they
were able to get real-time information concerning what was happening
outside as well as pass information to their compatriots. Also, in Iraq,
phones were used to detonate improvised explosive devices (IED) buried
in the roads.
We need a capable team with modern communication equipment that will enable them to respond to the problem faced by terrorism.
When
dealing with non-state actors, it is hard to defeat them by brute
military force. The most powerful military in the world is having
problems eradicating the Taliban in Afghanistan. Terrorism is best
handled by intelligence, immigration and good policing.
The
government’s Nyumba Kumi idea is important in combating terrorism, even
though it has been criticised as not being cutting edge enough. Some
have suggested that we should use data to crunch out the terrorists in
our midst.
Well, 60 per cent of Nairobians live in
what NGOs call peri-urban settlements. Many are unbanked and slums are
growing at a rate that is hard to predict with certainty.
There
are no addresses and names of tenants in these settlements and the
churn rate could be high. So how do we generate geodata or any
meaningful data from an area with such a high rate of variability?
Big
data needs data and quite possibly, the only meaningful data you could
get from the slums is the mobile phone usage statistics. In a rapidly
changing environment, it becomes speculation.
The Nyumba Kumi initiative is a viable way to tackle this variability. Human detection still leads in the detection of terrorism. Prediction relies heavily on past events and terrorists are adapting to situations.
The Nyumba Kumi initiative is a viable way to tackle this variability. Human detection still leads in the detection of terrorism. Prediction relies heavily on past events and terrorists are adapting to situations.
For
terrorists, an urban siege of a hotel or a shopping mall makes the most
sense. Bombing while devastating ends too quickly. Holding a mall
hostage prolongs the agony.
Hotel and mall
infiltration is easy, guards are relatively unarmed and all you need to
hold hostages is small arms. Armoured personnel carriers are useless in
this situation, as are mortars.
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We are spending a lot on education, but just where is it all going?
There
is an interesting chart in the Kenya National Bureau and Statistics
Facts and Figures Presentation, 2012 (available on their website). It is
a chart of the percentage allocated to education from the national
budget, which seems to be going down.
Of course this
could easily be diffused by recalling the fact that the budget has
actually been going down, but that isn’t my point. How do we measure
educational outcomes?
Is it enough to simply say that
we are pouring money by the truckload into the education ministry and
more children are going to school and claim to have sorted out the
education system?
There have been annual reports of how
children are failing to acquire basic numeracy and literacy skills in
their formative years. The universality of education has been a good
thing, but its efficacy is in question.
The government
is spending a fortune on teachers and not enough on building schools.
It could claim to increase spending on schools, but if the money ends up
in paying teachers’ salaries, it will amount to nothing.
More
money could just lead to fraud, waste and abuse. The money could be
gummed up in bureaucracy and setting up workshops and not spent on the
coalface of education. We need better management systems for the money
we put in education.
Education is more about social
outcomes and not how much money you sink into the venture. Good
education saves money in the long run. It truly is an investment that
pays back richly. We would not have to hire foreigners to design our
roads or run our companies.
At a time when labour is
increasingly more mobile and the borders are particularly porous to the
highly skilled, the cost of not getting education right is for our
country to be run by foreign technocrats.
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