Sunday, June 30, 2013

US rating lowest in Tanzania, says study


US President Barack Obama and First Lady Michelle Obama walk off Air Force One with their daughters Malia (left) and Sasha, followed by Marian Robinson (2nd right) during an arrival ceremony at Waterkloof Air Base in Centurion, near Pretoria on Friday. PHOTO | AFP 
By The Citizen Reporters 

In Summary
The Washington-based research group Gallup says Tanzanians are the least approving of US leadership among residents of the three nations that Obama is touring for his first major official state visit to Africa.

Dar es Salaam. Visiting US President Barack Obama will tomorrow face Tanzanians whose rating of American leadership has significantly dropped, according to a new study.

The Washington-based research group Gallup says Tanzanians are the least approving of US leadership among residents of the three nations that Obama is touring for his first major official state visit to Africa.

Their approval dropped to 70 per cent in 2012 from a high of 89 per cent in 2009, the year Obama was sworn into office for his first term as the first African-American US President. But the study findings released on Friday show Tanzanians’ current approval level of the US is still higher than it was during the George Bush administration that Mr Obama succeeded.

 The rating for the younger Bush was 62 per cent in 2007, and as low as 47 per cent in 2004. According to Dr Ayub Rioba of the School of Journalism and Mass communication, University of Dar es Salaam, there might be a number of reasons for the drop but the main one could be disappointment.“Tanzanians and Africans at large saw the victory of Obama as one of the long-awaited solutions to their problems,” he said.

“To their surprise, Africa received little attention in his first term in office. He is an American president and was and still is directed by his country’s foreign policy.”

The chairperson of opposition Civic United Front (CUF) and renowned economist Prof Ibrahim Lipumba agrees that disappointment played a crucial part in the poor approval rates. “Africans see Obama as one of their own and for him to provide little for Africa was a major blow to Africans,” he said. “They forget it is all about foreign policy requirements and priorities.”

Prof Lipumba believes the 19 per cent drop is a small margin compared to what the Obama administration has done for Africa. He adds: “Bush did more good things than Obama for Africa and Tanzania but he still has poor rates compared to Obama. Africans still love Obama, regardless of the little help they have received so far.”

The survey involved face-to-face interviews with 1,000 adults aged 15 and older and was conducted in Senegal in March 2012 and in Tanzania in June 2012 and with 2,000 adults aged 15 and older in South Africa in March 2012 and November 2012. Gallup surveyed 1,000 respondents in each country in prior years. It had a +2 to +6 percentage point margin of error.

Approval in all the three countries--Senegal, South Africa and Tanzania--dropped from the highs seen in 2009-2010, meaning the US leader will likely face less enthused people in his visit than he would have years back when his victory galvanized the African continent, who easily identified with his roots.

In Senegal, Obama’s first stop, approval of US leadership was still substantially high at 80 per cent in 2012, down from 2009, when it stood at 87 per cent. About three-fourths of South Africans or 76 per cent approved of US leadership in 2012, much lower than the high of 92 per cent seen in 2010 to represent the highest drop among the three countries in Obama’s itinerary.

Gallup says the trend in approval ratings in Senegal, South Africa, and Tanzania is in line with what the organisation finds throughout the sub-Sahara region. It noted that the median US leadership approval rating among populations in the region fell to 70 per cent in 2012, from 74 per cent in 2011, and from a high of 85 per cent in 2009.

“It is now about where it was in 2008, and a bit better than the 62 per cent median approval in 2007,” says Gallup. Among all global regions, though, approval of US leadership remains among the highest in Africa.

“Whether it stays that way, though, may rely heavily on whether President Obama makes a strong and lasting impression during his trip--and follows it up with more engagement with the region on the issues its leaders and residents care most about,” it said.

Meanwhile, preparations were ready ahead of the highly anticipated visit by the Obamas, who arrive tomorrow.

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