Ken Obura, Chair of the Council of
Ministers, with EAC Secretary General Peter Mathuki walk into the East
African Legislative Assembly chambers to present the budget on June 28,
2021. PHOTO | MOSES HAVYARIMANA | NMG
The East African Community on Monday tabled $91.7 million budget for
the 2021/22 financial year during a sitting of the East African
Legislative Assembly in Arusha, Tanzania.
Trucks at the Port of Mombasa waiting to
be loaded with goods. A South Sudanese clearing company is seeking to
challenge termination of its operations at the Port of Mombasa by two
South Sudan government agencies. PHOTO | FILE | NMG
South Africa's former president Jacob Zuma. PHOTO | FILE
Summary
Zuma, 79, was on Tuesday sentenced to 15
months in prison following his refusal to provide a court-ordered
testimony before the Judicial Commission of Inquiry into Allegations of
State Capture.
Justice Sisi Khampepe of the Constitutional Court
gave Zuma five days to surrender himself to the police and be handed
over for booking at a correctional facility.
Hundreds of Sudanese protesters took to the streets of major cities
on Wednesday to demand the government's resignation over IMF-backed
economic reforms seen as too harsh, AFP correspondents said.
Central Bank of Kenya governor Patrick Njoroge has defended the
quality of the new generation Sh50 notes amid complaints that they are
wearing out too fast.
Kenya Airways expects to save $45 million (Sh4.85 billion) this year
after it changed the lease terms on its aircraft fleet, opting for
hourly rates in place of fixed costs.
The Treasury has urged State agencies and ministries to adopt
amicable forms of dispute resolution amid rising contract breaches that
have exposed taxpayers to more than Sh1.2 trillion in compensation
claims.
Some of the world's biggest alcoholic beverage
manufacturers selling their products in Kenya and the region are being
investigated for practices that hamper cross border trade.
“I think we understand why the Sh50 bank note circulates quickly.
Matatu fare and other transactions we see on the road are normally Sh50
and the lower denomination notes are subject to significant
mishandling,” said Njoroge.
While Kenya joined the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) in 1964, it took 20 years for the country to approach the
institution for its first bailout loan.
The International Monetary Fund's (IMF)
ultimatum that Kenya reveals the Covid-19 millionaires is just one of
the conditions of the Sh256 billion programme that it has with Nairobi.
About 10 million people will join the labour force in Kenya over the next decade.
This will present a major challenge for a country whose
industries have been struggling to create jobs even before the
pre-coronavirus pandemic era.
A new World Bank reports notes that over the next ten year period,
between 2020 and 2029, over a million young people will join the labour
force every year.
This is even as Kenya struggles to create more jobs, with many sectors having shed jobs between 2015 and 2019.
This challenge has been aggravated by Covid-19,
where companies across the different industries suffered a major
decline last year forcing them to laid-off employees, with many of the
jobs yet to be restored.
While the bulk of Kenya’s young and growing population presents an opportunity that the World Bank refers to as a ‘demographic dividend’, but this can only be realised ‘if jobs creation can keep up’.
“Between 2020 and 2029, the working-age population (18-64) will
increase by one million individuals annually," said the World Bank in
its latest Kenya Economic Update report.
"The demographic transition occurring as this “youth bulge”
cohort attains working age will result in a decline in the dependency
ratio (the average number of non-working age people supported by a
person of working age), while labour supply will increase
significantly.”
Demographic dividend
According to the 2019 Census report by the Kenya National Bureau
of Statistics (KNBS), Kenya had a population of 47.6 million, with an
annual population growth rate of 2.2 per cent. About 39 per cent of the
population is younger than 15 years of age and four per cent of the
population is over 65.
“The largest age cohort is between 10 and 14 and will be joining the
labour force over the next decade,” said the World Bank report.
“If this increase in labour supply can be matched by a
corresponding increase in good quality jobs, then average household and
per capita incomes will increase. However, unlocking this first
potential demographic dividend will depend on sufficiently increasing
good economic opportunities, especially for youthful labour market
entrants.
"Failure to do so could increase the risk of social unrest as
large incoming youth cohorts are faced with limited
opportunities. Kenya’s job creation rate will need to increase to reap
the potential benefits from its demographic transition,” the report
said.
Also, the World Bank expressed doubt as to whether the Kenyan
economy will be able to cope with the demand for jobs as young people
join the labour market in large numbers.
It noted that many sectors were unable to sustain jobs between
2016 and 2019, with mining having shed jobs by the biggest margin of 36
per cent.
Other sectors that posted huge job losses over the period include ICT (16 per cent), accommodation (15 per cent), utilities and construction (10 per cent) and manufacturing (three per cent).
This was even before Covid-19 struck and made the situation worse.
The few sectors that grew the number of people they employ
include agriculture (five per cent), finance and real estate (130 per
cent) and education, health and social service (26 per cent).
Service sector jobs
“Kenya’s economy is not currently on track to produce a
sufficient number of jobs to benefit from its demographic dividend since
workers entering the labour force are likely to enter low-productivity
agriculture or service sector jobs,” said the World Bank.
“To achieve a demographic dividend, the economy needs to produce
more quality jobs by accelerating economic transformation. The Covid-19
pandemic has added to this challenge by disrupting economic activity and
causing job losses.”
The Federation of Kenya Employers (FKE)
recently estimated that in the early days following the outbreak of
Covid-19 in the country, more than five million jobs were lost.
Micro enterprises, which employ the majority of Kenyans at about 15 million, are estimated to have shed 5.1 million jobs.
These very small businesses seen across the country and sometimes employing few people, many times even one.
The formal sector, which creates the high-value jobs that could
enable Kenya to reap the demographic dividend and employing about 2.4
million people, lost 173 000 jobs over the first few months after March
2020.
The number of formal jobs that were shed in the brief period is
equivalent to those that had been created in the previous three years,
with the economy creating 70 000 such jobs annually.
Some of the jobs have been recovered as the economy reopened and demand for goods and services slowly started growing.
JOHANNESBURG, (The Southern African Times) – South African state
power utility Eskom, Africa’s biggest greenhouse gas emitter, is
pitching a $10 billion plan to global lenders that would see it shut the
vast majority of its coal-fired plants by 2050 and embrace renewable
energy.
LONDON, (The Southern African Times) – The economic impact from the
plunge in tourism since the pandemic emerged last year could top $4
trillion, a UN report said Wednesday.
The joint report by the UN’s World Tourism Organization (UNWTO) and
Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) found that the lack of
widespread vaccination in developing countries was leading to mounting
economic losses.
BIG questions about how to cushion the harsh economic impact of
Covid-19 on developing countries are now at the top of the international
policy agenda.
ABUJA, (The Southern African Times) – Nigeria’s senate presented a
long-awaited oil overhaul bill to the full chamber for passage on
Tuesday and will consider it by the end of the week, according to an
order paper and the senate president.