Presidents
Paul Kagame (L) and Uhuru Kenyatta during their meeting at the State
House in Nairobi yesterday. The New Times/Village Urugwiro.
The role social security institutions and the extent to which these
avail various instruments that can tap private savings is yet another
critical determinant to our savings model.
Institutions such as
Caise Sociale and life policies offered by insurance companies have the
potential to attract large of pool of savings, of precautionary in
nature.
Such savings, which are used to provide income during
retirement, or unforeseen calamities, serve to smoothen income at a time
when one’s income generating capacities are no more.
Lots of
research in this domain point out that, there is a significant
relationship between social security systems and increase in private
savings.
These studies point out that, pension as well as
provident funds have been a major source of savings especially in East
Asian countries and has financed massive infrastructure investments that
bank based finance could not have financed.
Thus for instance, a
study by Lin (1994:133) found out that “employees provident funds (EPF)
is by far the largest mobiliser of savings in Malaysia.
Its
contributors’ balances rose at average rate of 17.4% of GDP during the
period 1980-1992, raising from only (Malaysian Ringgit- RM) 9 billion
or US $ 2.7 billion at the end of 1980 to a staggering RM 62 billion or
US $ 18.8 billion by the end of 1993 or 50% of nominal GDP”.
Public
pension schemes are supposed to serve two primary roles; first, to
provide a compulsory savings mechanism, and second, to provide for the
needs of the retired employees, so as to maintain some balance in their
standards of living.
In the case of compulsory savings
mechanism, pension scheme ‘force’ individuals to save, who might
otherwise be myopic with regard to their future income needs, and who
might expect to rely on the government social security or charity for
their financial needs and thus survival.
However, countries can
only use social security institutions to effectively mobilise large pool
of savings if, and only if, they maintain stable macro economic
environment, and especially more, if they maintain low or waive taxes on
retirement benefits.
Evidence from countries such as Singapore
points out to the fact that, employees provident funds (EPF) contributed
to the overall national savings at a rate of 30% of GDP, a fundamental
increase in savings by any standard.
In developing countries
however, where inflation is endemic, social security benefits received
at retirement are seriously eroded in real terms so much so that and
this negates the ability of these institutions’ ability to savings
mobilisation.
Social Security Institutions and Savings Mobilisation in Rwanda
Unlike
many countries where social security contributions are used to finance
projects where political patronage is the main criteria, a situation
that has seen massive corruption in use of these resources, Rwanda
maintains robust institutions that should attain government savings
mobilisation strategy.
Social security funds, along side life
insurance premiums provides a pool of long term savings that are used to
finance long-term investments.
Indeed most of long-term
infrastructure investments in western countries, and East Asia, used
these funds to under take heavy public investments.
This is
pertinent in that, some of these savings are held for as long as the
savers attains the age of 55/65 years. The only lacuna with our systems
is the coverage, which is very shallow.
Thus for instance,
whereas Sub-Saharan Africa has an average of 12% of social contributions
as percentage of GDP; Rwanda’s stands at 1.3% of GDP.
This
decimal performance of our social security sector, calls for serious
reforms, if it is to serve as a vehicle for savings mobilisation, and
their long-term investment.
Simple survey suggests that, most of
the contributors to these institutions are those working in formal
sector, and even then, a small proportion of these.
Our informal
sector, (which according to available statistics accounts for around
40% of our GDP) has not come on board to contribute to these social
security institutions.
Specific products targeting this
particular sector, would go along way to mobilise ‘hidden savings’ in
this otherwise major sector of our economy.
Our Diaspora is yet
another target group that should contribute to this sector, if only
there are suitable financial instruments designed to cater for their
savings needs.
As long as these savings are guaranteed by the
government through a protection fund, savers will be incentivised to
save with them. Tax holidays on these savings will certainly boost the
amount one can save with them.
A part from government social
security institutions, private social security institutions could
supplement government efforts, and ensure efficiency, while giving mass
savers alternative vehicles for their savings needs.
These
private social security institutions will need similar incentives as
those given to state institutions if there are to make an impact in
savings mobilisation.
Private social security institutions will
have to be regulated, and their savings insured, to avoid loss of
savings by the same, which would negate our savings mobilisation
strategy.
Of particular interest is the life insurance in
Rwanda, which has the potential to mobilise long-term savings, but this
potential has not been exploited as it has not been promoted to would be
savers.
In East African region life policies are a common
feature, and an instrument of savings mobilisation, an instrument yet
to develop in Rwanda.
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