Economic development literature is abound
with strongly held view that, no country has ever development without
sufficient national savings to spur investments, and thus growth. It is
known that, capital accumulation in poor countries is constrained by low
national savings as well as limited access to foreign capital.
Almost
all research done on various development paradigms pursued by various
countries at different times are all conclusive on the significant
correlation between savings, investments, and growth.
There is
no substitute for such a relationship now, or in near future, with
regard to growth and development pursuits of nations.
Recent
research points out that, South East Asia’s unprecedented accumulation
episodes have been a virtuous growth cycle, where the underlying
causation process was at work.
Such a process then meant that,
rapid growth raised savings rates, which then fed back into the system,
yielding faster growth by financing more capital accumulation.
Economists
and financial specialists now concede that, such a process has to be
maintained for at least two decades if is to be sustainable, so as to
ensure sustained growth and thus development.
Research done by
Kim (2001) on growth and development of South East Asian countries found
out that, high savings rates in these countries, were considered one of
the most important factors, leading to fast economic development of
these economies. He maintains that “large domestic savings, coupled with
substantial foreign savings, has financed active domestic investments,
contributing to high growth, employment creation, poverty reduction,
productivity gains, and trade expansion”.
Africa’s tragic savings Rates.
Although
most African countries posted better rates of growth than Asian
economies after independence, there was no savings strategy to sustain
such growth rates through the savings-investments-growth virtuous cycle
as was with the case with Asian Tigers.
With time, African
growth rates regressed owing mainly to poor governance issues, as well
as void growth strategies. The persistent low growth and savings rates
in Africa is due to the vicious cycle of poverty, a trap in which low
incomes, and thus low savings, reinforce each other, to the extent that,
growth can only be anticipated if, and only if, this trap is broken.
The
question that has baffled many development economists is, how the Asian
Tigers managed to latch onto a virtuous growth cycle (than African
economies), and whether the high rates of their capital accumulation was
exogenous driven by structural factors, or whether there was a critical
policy path to that end.
One thing is certain. Whereas Asian
Tigers followed a consistent policy path in all development
fundamentals, including savings mobilisation (where some countries even
used forced savings to ensure capital formation), African economies on
the other hand, settled for foreign savings ‘policy’, a policy that is
now seriously questioned for it has not on the whole, induced growth and
thus development as anticipated.
Rwanda’s Recent Savings Mobilisation Strategy.
Recently
Rwanda celebrated UN World Savings day on October, 31st. A day the
entire world takes stock of savings initiatives in place, and a day that
nations sensitises their populations on the need to save for tomorrow.
Ministry
of Finance, launched the savings day week, a time to show case savings
strategies the government has put in place to boost private savings.
However, we have to bear in mind that, Rwanda is coming from far with
regard to savings mobilisation.
Available statistics indicate
that, as a country we have been dis-savings for long. Our saving rates
stood between -1% to 3% of our GDP, for the last five years. This is
against African average savings rate of approximately 18%.
Economic
theory holds that, for a country to accumulate savings sufficient to
induce growth and thus development, these have to be above 23% mark of
the GDP.
This indicate the monumental task we have to over come
as a nation, if we are latch into sustainable development cycle and
break the poverty trap.
Given our negative savings rate for some
time now, our recent impressive growth rates, can only be attributed to
other factors both endogenous and exogenous factors, especially a
combination of prudent economic management and foreign savings (read
donor funds), foreign direct investments, and more so efficient and
effective utilisation of these resources and our human capital to spur
of growth.
Nevertheless, some of these fundamentals are not in
our control as country, and cannot therefore be substitutes to national
efforts. Our biggest asset that has worked for the interest of this
country, is our political will.
A will to over come even what
seems monumental amidst hostile multi-faceted environment. This is the
same will that we need to marshal, to reverse our negative saving rates
we have registered for some time now, and which may negate our efforts
to graduate from dependency on foreign savings.
The government
has put in place a number of strategic initiatives to boost our national
savings including; grass-root savings schemes (Umurenge SACCOs),
development of Kigali Securities Market, pension schemes, Micro Finance
Institutions (MFIs) Collective Investment Scheme (CIS) and the awaited
Provident Fund Scheme, all of which will certainly ensure savings
mobilisation.
The myth that, low incomes negate savings culture
has been demystified by various strategies in many countries that pooled
small savings to huge pool of savings from which investments can be
generated.
Thus for instance, Japan used its Post Office Savings
schemes to boost its domestic savings, a strategy that worked well in
early 1950s and one that is a kin to our Umurenge SACCOs.
The
notion that, the poor can not save is invalid, for even smallest of
savings adds to a huge pool of savings if pooled together. An example of
our successful military savings scheme (CSS) and Umwalimu SACCO annuls
the notion that, small earnings can not be saved. All we need is the
political will to ensure that, these schemes are up and running.
This
will is and has been our greatest asset. We need it most to realise
savings mobilisation strategies, and ensure sustainable growth.
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